Minnesota Twins vs. Chicago White Sox Free Pick 08/22/18

The Minnesota Twins will be squaring off against their division rival Chicago White Sox at Guaranteed Rate Field. NBC Sports Chicago will televise the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 2:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Odds

Chicago (-110) is favored over Minnesota (+100) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the most recent odds coming in at Twins +1.5 runs (-210) and White Sox -1.5 runs (+175).

The Twins are 60-65 SU and have gone 66-58 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.2 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 5.9 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The White Sox, on the other hand, are 47-78 SU and 62-62 ATS. The team has lost 15.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 6.1 units ATS. Chicago has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Neither team has established itself as a strong over/under bet this season. Chicago games have had an over/under record of 60-58-6 in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 60-61-3.

The right-handed Kyle Gibson is getting the nod for Minnesota. Gibson is 7-9 with a 3.51 ERA and 144 strikeouts. He’s 0-1 with 15 strikeouts and a 5.27 ERA against Chicago this year (two starts).

The White Sox will send lefty Carlos Rodon (4-3, 2.69 ERA) to the mound. Rodon has 64 punchouts and 29 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.02. Rodon hasn’t faced the Twins yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 2.84 ERA and nine strikeouts across six and 1-third innings).

Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 5.3 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have a 5.14 ERA, 1.42 WHIP and 6.7 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.58 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 9.7 K/9. In 55 games against AL Central foes, White Sox starters have an ERA of 4.68 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.47.

The Chicago offense has put up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.2 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .281/.349/.491 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

First baseman Jose Abreu and third baseman Yolmer Sanchez have led the White Sox batters this year. Abreu is slashing .272/.331/.491 with 22 home runs, 78 RBIs and 67 runs scored, and Sanchez’s line is .247/.306/.384 with seven homers, 45 RBIs and 45 runs.

In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 4.47 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 8.38 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.46, along with a WHIP of 1.38.

Twins hitters have slashed .246/.317/.407 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been led by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar, who have combined to belt 37 home runs. Rosario is slashing .293/.331/.493 with 22 home runs, 72 RBIs and 79 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.338/.514) is up to 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

The Twins have lost 2.1 units and are 20-16 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 20 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the White Sox have lost 8.8 units and are 47-47 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 46 of those games, as opposed to 43 which went under the total.

Minnesota Twins at Chicago White Sox Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – White Sox, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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