The Minnesota Twins will square off against their division rival Cleveland Indians at Progressive Field. SportsTime Ohio will be televising the matchup and the game is scheduled to get underway at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Vegas is listing Minnesota (+185) as the underdog to Cleveland (-200). The total sits at 8.5 runs and bettors can wager on the over for even money (+100) or the under for -120. Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds standing at -120 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +100 for the Indians -1.5 runs.
The Twins are 30-36 SU and have gone 37-28 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 10.1 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 8.0 units ATS. The Indians, on the other hand, are 36-32 SU and 30-37 ATS. They’ve lost 8.3 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 11.2 units ATS.
Cleveland games have an over/under record of 34-31-2 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 29-34-2.
Right-hander Fernando Romero is getting the nod for the visiting Twins. Romero is 3-2 with a 3.92 ERA and 39 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Indians this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Indians will turn to righty Carlos Carrasco (8-4, 3.90 ERA), who has 94 strikeouts and 21 walks as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Carrasco is 0-1 with nine strikeouts and a 5.06 ERA over two starts against Minnesota this year.
Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starters own a 4.11 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 8.87 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.18, along with a K-per-9 of 8.86.
Twins hitters have slashed .237/.312/.401 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.8 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .313/.350/.565 with 15 home runs, 44 RBIs and 46 runs scored, while Escobar has a .291 average with 12 homers, 42 RBIs and 33 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Cleveland’s pitching staff has given up 4.4 runs per game overall this year. Its starting pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 9.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.46 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 9.0 K/9. In 30 games against divisional opponents, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.85 and the bullpen’s ERA is 3.45.
The Cleveland offense is putting up 4.8 runs per contest, including 4.9 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .229/.303/.353 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Indians’ batters have been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is hitting .290/.361/.530 with 15 home runs, 36 RBIs, 52 runs and nine stolen bases, while Ramirez’s line is .292/.385/.608 with 20 homers, 46 RBIs, 46 runs and eight stolen bases.
The Twins have lost 5.0 units and are 27-20 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 23 of those games, as opposed to 22 that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Indians have lost 10.1 units and are 20-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 23 of those games, compared to 22 that’ve gone under.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just one of Cleveland’s last seven games.
Minnesota has recorded 18.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.6 over its last five.
Each team has hit nine home runs over its last 10 games.
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