The Cleveland Indians will play host to their division rival Minnesota Twins at Progressive Field. The matchup will begin at 7:10 p.m. ET and fans hoping to watch it can tune in to SportsTime Ohio.
Minnesota Twins at Cleveland Indians Odds
Minnesota (+190) is entering this game as the underdog to Cleveland (-210) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9 runs. Odds for betting on the game’s total sit at -120 for the under and +100 for the over. Gamblers can also bet on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at Twins +1.5 runs (-115) and Indians -1.5 runs (-105).
The Twins have gone 52-58 SU this year and are 61-49 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 8.0 units for moneyline bettors, despite having gained 9.4 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Indians, on the other hand, are 61-49 SU and 53-57 ATS. They’ve lost 14.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 10.2 units ATS. Cleveland has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in five of those seven.
Cleveland games have had an over/under record of 56-50-4 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 53-54-3.
Adalberto Mejia will get the start for the Twinkies. The southpaw Mejia (1-0, 2.60 ERA) has recorded 10 strikeouts in 17.1 innings so far. He’s 0-0 with two strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Cleveland this year.
The Indians are handing the ball to righty Carlos Carrasco (13-5, 3.66 ERA), who’s got 138 strikeouts and 26 walks to his name, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Carrasco is 1-2 with 21 strikeouts and a 4.66 ERA across four starts against Minnesota this year.
Cleveland’s pitching staff has yielded 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. The team’s starting pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 9.3 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 5.02 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 47 divisional games, Indians starters have an ERA of 2.62 and the bullpen’s ERA is 2.91.
The Cleveland offense has put up 5.1 runs per contest, including 5.4 per game against divisional foes and 3.8 per game over its last five. The team has a slash-line of .239/.335/.352 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
The Indians’ offense has been led by shortstop Francisco Lindor and third baseman Jose Ramirez. Lindor is slashing .293/.374/.561 with 27 home runs, 67 RBIs, 95 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Ramirez is hitting .300 with 33 homers, 82 RBIs, 78 runs and 26 stolen bases.
In the visiting dugout, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.32 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 8.51 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.64, along with a K/9 of 9.49.
Twins hitters have slashed .245/.318/.402 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.5 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.4 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
Minnesota’s offensive production has been fueled by left fielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar. Rosario is slashing .295/.336/.498 with 20 home runs, 66 RBIs and 72 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.338/.514) has produced 15 homers, 63 RBIs and 45 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 5.7 units and are 42-37 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 41 of those games, compared to 36 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Indians have netted 3.0 units and are 16-13 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 15 of those games, compared to 13 that’ve gone under.
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Indians Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Indians, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has hit in five of Cleveland’s last seven games.
The Twins have hit six home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
The Minnesota defense has allowed four errors over its last five games, compared to zero errors for Cleveland over its last five.
The Indians have won four of their last five games SU.
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