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Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Matchup 09/19/18

Patrick Gorski-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Twins are ready to take on their division rival Detroit Tigers at Comerica Park. Fox Sports North will televise the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Odds

The Tigers are 79-71 against the spread (ATS)despite being only 61-90 straight up (SU). The team’s lost 5.2 units for moneyline bettors and 2.3 units (ATS). Detroit has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Twins have gone 70-81 SU this year and are 76-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 13.1 units for gamblers taking the moneyline and 2.8 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.

Tigers games have an over/under record of 64-78-8 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 74-73-3.

Left-hander Gabriel Moya is projected to start for the visiting Twins. Moya is 3-1 with a 4.73 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with five strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Detroit this year.

The Tigers will put the ball in the right hand of Spencer Turnbull (0-0, 0.00 ERA, 0.00 WHIP), who’s got one strikeouts and zero walks this season. Turnbull hasn’t faced the Twins yet this year and did not pitch in the majors in 2017.

Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 4.59 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 8.25 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.65, along with a K-per-9 of 9.05.

The Twins offense has slashed .247/.317/.404 on its way to 4.4 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.4 runs per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).

Minnesota’s hitters have been paced by left fielder Eddie Rosario and first baseman Joe Mauer. Rosario is slashing .288/.323/.479 with 24 home runs, 77 RBIs and 87 runs scored, while Mauer has a .276 average with six homers, 45 RBIs and 53 runs scored.

For the home team, Detroit’s pitching staff has allowed 4.8 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have an ERA of 4.52, a WHIP of 1.30 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.4. The bullpen has a 4.47 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 7.9 K/9. In 68 divisional games, Tigers starters have an ERA of 4.54 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.64.

The Detroit hitters have produced 3.9 runs per contest, including 3.8 per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .217/.266/.319 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Tigers’ batters have been led by right fielder Nicholas Castellanos and third baseman Jeimer Candelario. Castellanos is slashing .296/.353/.490 with 21 home runs, 81 RBIs and 80 runs scored, and Candelario’s line is .228/.316/.407 with 19 homers, 53 RBIs and 74 runs.

The Twins have lost 4.9 units and are 56-52 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 55 of those games, compared to 51 that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers.

Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers Free Pick

Predictions: SU Winner – Tigers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – UNDER

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Notes

Betting Notes

Minnesota has logged 17 extra-base hits over its last five outings. Detroit has 10 XBH over its last five.

The Tigers have dropped three of their last four games SU.

Minnesota has posted 25.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 29.8 over its last five.

The Twins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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