The Minnesota Twins will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports North will televise this interleague matchup and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
Milwaukee (-110) is favored over Minnesota (+100) and oddsmakers have the Over/Under for this game at 8.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -210 for the Twins +1.5 runs and +175 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 50-35 straight up (SU) and 46-38 against the spread (ATS). The team’s gained 12.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 7.0 units (ATS). The Twins are 35-47 SU and have gone 44-37 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.2 units for moneyline bettors, but have gained 3.3 units ATS.
Brewers games have had an over/under record of 35-46-3 so far in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 39-39-3.
The right-handed Jose Berrios will get the nod for the visiting Twins. Berrios is 8-6 with a 3.52 ERA and 111 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers will turn to righty Chase Anderson (6-6, 4.18 ERA), who has 68 strikeouts and 35 walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Anderson did not record a start against the Twins in 2017.
Milwaukee’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018 as a unit. Its starters have an ERA of 3.94, a WHIP of 1.23 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.8. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 3.03, a WHIP of 1.21 and a K/9 of 10.5.
The Milwaukee offense is putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.0 per game over its last 10 games and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .235/.319/.371 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
Outfielders Lorenzo Cain and Christian Yelich have led the charge for the Brewers’ hitters this year. Cain is slashing .291/.394/.438 with eight home runs, 26 RBIs, 48 runs and 16 stolen bases, and Yelich’s line is .289/.364/.471 with 11 homers, 34 RBIs, 52 runs and 10 steals.
For the visiting squad, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.42 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 8.85 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.48, along with a K/9 of 9.36.
The Twins offense has slashed .237/.310/.396 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game this year, including 4.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Outfielder Eddie Rosario and shortstop Eduardo Escobar continue to lead Minnesota’s hitters. Rosario is slashing .312/.354/.562 with 18 home runs, 52 RBIs and 57 runs scored, while Escobar (.274/.333/.522) has produced 12 homers, 49 RBIs and 38 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 6.2 units and are 30-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 29 of those games, as opposed to 26 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Brewers have netted 15.6 units and are 40-27 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 26 of those games, compared to 38 that’ve cashed the under.
Minnesota Twins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in five of Minnesota’s last seven outings.
The Twins have dropped seven of their last eight games SU.
Minnesota has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 26.0 over its last five.
The Twins have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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