The streaking New York Yankees are seeking their fifth consecutive victory as they play host to the Minnesota Twins at Yankee Stadium. The first pitch is scheduled for 6:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North is in line to broadcast this AL matchup.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Odds
New York (-160) is favored against Minnesota (+150) and Vegas has set the Over/Under for this one at 9.5 runs (-115 for the under and -105 for the over). The game’s current runline odds stand at -145 for betting the Twins +1.5 runs and +125 for the Yankees -1.5.
The Twins are 8-10 SU and have gone 11-6 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 0.5 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having gained 3.1 units ATS. Minnesota is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 13-9 SU and 11-10 ATS. They’ve lost 2.9 units for moneyline bettors and 1.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
New York games have had an over/under record of 14-6-1 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 8-9.
Lance Lynn will get the start for the Twinkies. The right-handed Lynn is 0-1 with a 6.00 ERA and 19 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Yankees are going with righty Sonny Gray (1-1, 8.27 ERA), who has 15 strikeouts and 11 walks to his name, as well as a 2.08 WHIP. Gray only made one start against the Twins in 2017 (0-1, 6.00 ERA and four strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has allowed 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starting pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 8.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.92 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 13.2 K/9.
The New York hitters are putting up 6.1 runs per outing, including 6.9 per game over its last 10 games and 8.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .302/.378/.593 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that span.
Right fielder Aaron Judge and shortstop Didi Gregorius have paced the Yankees’ offense this year. Judge is slashing .341/.476/.659 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 22 runs scored, while Gregorius is batting .347 with eight homers, 27 RBIs and 19 runs.
Judge enjoyed hitting against righties at home last season, slashing .318/.424/.771 across 257 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .284/.422/.627).
For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 5.1 runs per game and its starters own a 4.18 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.37 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 5.77, along with a WHIP of 1.30 and a K-per-9 of 9.70.
The Twins offense has slashed .228/.304/.381 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (0-5 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by right fielder Max Kepler and second baseman Brian Dozier. Kepler is hitting .283/.368/.583 with 17 hits, seven RBIs and seven runs scored, while Dozier (.291/.356/.494) is up to 23 hits, four homers, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored.
The Twins have lost 2.0 units and are 9-5 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in seven of those games, compared to seven that’ve gone under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 3.7 units and are 6-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over has hit in nine of those games, compared to four that’ve gone under.
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Twins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including four over their last five.
Minnesota has averaged 19.6 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 games and 18.0 over its last five.
The Twins have lost six of their last seven games SU.
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