The Minnesota Twins are ready to play the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Fox Sports North is in line to televise this AL matchup and the action gets going at 1:05 p.m. ET.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees Odds
New York (-180) is favored against Minnesota (+170) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this game at 9.5 runs. The odds for wagering on the game’s total stand at +100 for the over and -120 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at Twins +1.5 runs (-130) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+110).
The Twins have gone 8-11 SU this year and are 11-7 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 1.4 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going, despite having gained 1.5 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread just twice over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 14-9 SU and 12-10 ATS. The team has lost 1.9 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 0.1 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Yankees games have an over/under record of 15-6-1 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 9-9.
The right-handed Kyle Gibson is projected to start for the visiting Twins. Gibson is 1-1 with a 4.29 ERA and 20 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Yankees this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Yankees are planning to start lefty Jordan Montgomery (2-0, 3.80 ERA), who has 17 strikeouts and nine walks to his credit, as well as a WHIP of 1.41. Montgomery only made one start against the Twins in 2017 (0-1, 9.00 ERA and three strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, New York’s pitching staff has yielded 4.7 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.07, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.1. The bullpen has a 3.83 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 13.1 K/9.
New York’s hitters are putting up 6.2 runs per contest, including 7.3 per game over its last 10 games and 8.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .311/.407/.605 over its last five contests and is 5-0 SU during that span.
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ batters so far. Gregorius is slashing .372/.470/.833 with nine home runs, 29 RBIs and 20 runs scored, and Judge’s line is .345/.481/.655 with seven homers, 17 RBIs and 22 runs.
Compared to his total season slash line of .284/.422/.627, Judge performed well against righties at home last season, producing .318/.424/.771 across 257 plate appearances.
In the other dugout, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 5.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.56 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.30 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 5.55, along with a WHIP of 1.35.
The Twins offense has slashed .231/.308/.382 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.8 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five contests (0-5 SU).
Minnesota’s offense has been powered by right fielder Max Kepler and first baseman Joe Mauer. Kepler is slashing .308/.384/.585 with 20 hits, eight RBIs and eight runs scored, while Mauer (.306/.456/.403) is up to 19 hits, six RBIs and nine runs scored.
Maintaining a slash line of .136/.212/.254 across 66 such plate appearances, Kepler did not perform especially well against lefty pitching on the road last season (compared to his total season slash line of .243/.312/.425).
The Twins have gained 0.6 units and are 2-2 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in two of those games, compared to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 2.7 units and are 7-8 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 10 of those games, compared to four that went under.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games SU.
New York has posted 27.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 29.4 over its last five.
The Twins have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games. The Yankees have hit 22 over their last 10.
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