The Minnesota Twins will play the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. This AL matchup will get going at 6:35 p.m. ET and Fox Sports North will broadcast the game.
Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees Odds
Oddsmakers are listing Minnesota (+115) as the underdog to New York (-125). Gamblers can wager on the game’s total with odds posted at -110 for over 8.5 runs and -110 for under 8.5. You can also bet on the game’s runline with the current odds sitting at Twins +1.5 runs (-180) and Yankees +-1.5 runs (+160).
The Twins have gone 8-9 SU this year and are 11-5 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.6 units for bettors taking the moneyline in the season’s early going and 4.3 units ATS. Minnesota has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has hit in four of those seven. The Yankees, on the other hand, are 12-9 SU and 10-10 ATS. They’ve lost 3.9 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 2.4 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Yankees games have had an over/under record of 13-6-1 so far in 2018. Minnesota has an over/under record of 7-9.
Right-hander Jose Berrios is the projected starter for Minnesota. Berrios is 2-1 with a 1.63 ERA and 29 strikeouts. He has yet to face New York this year, but he made two starts against the team in 2017, compiling a 1-1 record with a 3.60 ERA and nine strikeouts.
The Yankees will be sending lefty CC Sabathia (0-0, 2.70 ERA) to the mound. Sabathia has eight strikeouts and three walks to his name, as well as a 1.20 WHIP. Sabathia only made one start against the Twins in 2017 (1-0, 3.00 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).
Minnesota’s pitchers have allowed 4.9 runs per game and its starters own a 3.87 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 9.10 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 5.71, along with a K/9 of 9.46.
The Twins offense has slashed .232/.308/.388 on its way to 4.1 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Minnesota’s hitters have been led by second baseman Brian Dozier and outfielder Max Kepler. Dozier is slashing .307/.373/.520 with four home runs, 10 RBIs and 15 runs scored, while Kepler has a .286 average with four homers, seven RBIs and six runs scored.
Dozier enjoyed hitting against left-handed pitching last season. Over 168 plate appearances, he put up a slash line of .331/.423/.634 (compared to his overall season line of .271/.359/.498).
In the home-team dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starting pitching staff has an ERA of 4.30, a WHIP of 1.27 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.3. The bullpen has a 3.95 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 13.2 K/9.
New York’s offense has produced 6.0 runs per outing, including 7.1 per game over its last 10 games and 7.4 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .299/.381/.545 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
Shortstop Didi Gregorius and right fielder Aaron Judge have led the Yankees’ offense so far. Gregorius is slashing .324/.429/.746 with seven home runs, 24 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Judge’s line sits at .325/.469/.610 with six homers, 15 RBIs and 20 runs.
Judge enjoyed hitting against right-handed pitchers at home last season, slashing .318/.424/.771 over 257 such plate appearances (compared to his total season line of .284/.422/.627).
The Twins have gained 1.6 units and are 2-1 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has hit in one of those games, compared to two that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Yankees have lost 4.7 units and are 5-8 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in eight of those games, as opposed to four that’ve cashed the under.
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Yankees, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER
Notes
Betting Trends
The Twins have lost five of their last six games SU.
New York has recorded 26.3 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 27.4 over its last five.
The Twins have hit seven home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.
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