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Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Pick 07/25/18

Jeffrey Becker-USA TODAY Sports

The Toronto Blue Jays are prepared to battle against the Minnesota Twins at Rogers Centre. Fox Sports North will broadcast this AL matchup and the action gets underway at 4:07 p.m. ET.

Minnesota Twins at Toronto Blue Jays Odds

Minnesota (+110) is entering this game as the underdog against Toronto (-120) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (-125 for the over and +105 for the under). Runline odds sit at -190 for betting the Twins +1.5 runs and +165 for the Blue Jays -1.5.

The Blue Jays are 46-54 straight up (SU) and 45-54 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 6.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.3 units (ATS). The Twins are 46-53 SU and have gone 54-44 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 10.7 units for bettors taking the moneyline, but have gained 7.3 units ATS.

Toronto games have had an over/under record of 47-44-8 in 2018. The Twins have an over/under record of 48-47-3.

The right-handed Ervin Santana is getting the nod for Minnesota. Santana has yet to pitch in the majors this season.

The Blue Jays are going with righty Sam Gaviglio (2-3, 4.59 ERA), who’s got 61 punchouts and 19 walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 1.28. Gaviglio made two starts against the Twins in 2017, compiling a 1-0 record with a 4.35 ERA and eight strikeouts.

As a unit, Toronto’s pitching staff has allowed 4.9 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.84 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 8.1 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.09 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 9.3 K/9.

The Toronto hitters are putting up 4.4 runs per contest, including 4.6 per game over its last 10 games and 4.0 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .259/.320/.434 over its last five games and is 3-2 SU during that span.

Yangervis Solarte has helped lead the Blue Jays’ offense this season with 17 home runs, 52 RBIs and 45 runs scored.

For the visitors, Minnesota’s pitching staff allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.33 ERA, 1.34 WHIP and 8.68 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.70, along with a WHIP of 1.34.

Twins hitters have slashed .244/.317/.405 on their way to 4.5 runs scored per game this season, including 6.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).

Eddie Rosario has led Minnesota’s hitters and is slashing .307/.348/.521 with 19 home runs, 62 RBIs and 69 runs scored.

The Twins are looking for another win following a 5-0 victory in the prior game of this series.

Minnesota Twins vs. Toronto Blue Jays Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Blue Jays, ATS Winner – Twins, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

The under has hit in only two of Minnesota’s last seven games.

The Twins have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Blue Jays have hit 14 over their last 10.

Minnesota has recorded 26.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 21.4 over its last five.

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Written by GMS Previews

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