The Air Force Falcons (2-4) square off with the Missouri State Bears (3-3) at Clune Arena. The game starts at 9:15 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
Missouri State Bears at Air Force Falcons Free Prediction
The Bears are hoping for a better outcome after their 77-66 loss to the Murray State Racers in their last matchup. Murray State’s effective field goal percentage was their biggest advantage over Missouri State. The Racers had a rate of 0.536 (below their season average of 0.687), while the Bears posted a mark of 0.438 (below their season average of 0.529). Missouri State’s Obediah Church played well, finishing with 15 points and nine rebounds.
In the Falcons’ last outing, they got blown out by the Colorado Buffaloes, 93-56. Colorado’s offensive rebounding percentage was their biggest advantage over Air Force. The Buffaloes had a rate of 29.6 (below their season average of 30.2), while the Falcons posted a mark of 14.3 (below their season average of 29.0). With 13 points on 4-for-9 shooting, A.J. Walker led Air Force in scoring.
Half-court execution will be critical when two of the nation’s slowest-paced teams clash. Air Force ranks 281st in possessions per game (67.7) and Missouri State is 306th (67.1) dating back to last season. Also, the Bears’ 43rd-ranked defense (effective field goal percentage allowed of 0.475) will square off against the Falcons’ 273rd-ranked offense (effective field goal percentage of 0.493).
Missouri State Bears vs. Air Force Falcons Odds Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Missouri State ranks 45th in rebounds per game (38.3) while Air Force ranks 275th (33.2).
The Bears rank 62nd in blocks per game (4.1) while the Falcons rank 242nd (2.5).
Missouri State ranks 78th in assists allowed per game (12.2) while Air Force ranks 226th (14.1).
The Falcons rank 178th in steals per game (6.1) while the Bears rank 279th (4.9).
Air Force ranks 104th in three pointers attempted per game (23.5) while Missouri State ranks 204th in three pointers allowed per game (22.6).
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