The Missouri Tigers (8-10) will have a tough time bringing their six-game road losing streak to a close when they take on the No. 10-ranked Texas A&M Aggies (16-2), who have won seven in a row at home. The game begins at 4:00 pm ET on Saturday, Jan. 23 and can be seen on SEC and ES3.
The Tigers, meanwhile, are feeling some disappointment after their close 60-57 loss to Georgia on Wednesday. Namon Wright registered 12 points, five rebounds, and two assists.
The ineffective offense of the Tigers (265th in the nation with an offensive efficiency of 100.9) will attempt to infiltrate the top-notch defense of the Aggies (16th in the nation with a defensive efficiency of 92.9). The matchup on that end of the floor seems to lean toward Texas A&M.
Texas A&M is a substantial 18-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 138 points. The Aggies enter the game with records of 16-2 Straight Up (SU) and 7-4-2 Against The Spread (ATS). Spreading the ball around is a huge part of Texas A&M’s offense. They are fourth in the nation in assists with an average of 19.1 per game. Turning to the defensive side, it’s been a struggle for opposing teams to score on the Aggies. The 64.3 points that Texas A&M’s defense allows per game makes them the 36th-ranked defense in the country. Texas A&M’s defense can be considered one of the best in the country. The Aggies allow a .396 opponent field-goal percentage, one of the lowest shooting rates in the country.
In the other locker room, Missouri has a SU record of 8-10 and an ATS record of 8-6-1.
This game marks the season’s first head-to-head clash between these conference rivals. Their previous game was an Aggies victory, bringing the head-to-head record to an even 5-5 SU over their most recent meetings. They are even ATS at 5-5 in their most recent meetings as well. Texas A&M had the advantage in three key areas (field goals, rebounds, and three-pointers) one time over the last five matchups. Missouri has never had the edge in all three categories.
Predictions: SU Winner – TexA&M, ATS Winner – TexA&M, O/U – Over
Notes
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas A&M’s last 5 games.
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Texas A&M’s last 14 games when playing Missouri.
Texas A&M is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games when playing Missouri.
Texas A&M is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games when playing at home against Missouri.
Texas A&M averages 79.0 points per game (ranked 64th). Missouri, on the other hand, allows 69.1 points per game (ranked 129th).
Texas A&M scores 82.5 points per home game (ranked 72nd). Missouri ranks a poor 176th in points allowed on the road, allowing 75.0 points.
Missouri lost its last game by a three-point margin. In games decided by a margin of three points or less, Texas A&M is 3-0. Missouri is 0-1 in close games this season.
The Texas A&M Aggies have a defensive rating of 92.9 (ranked 16th), while the Missouri Tigers have an offensive rating of 100.9 (ranked 265th).
The Missouri Tigers average a field goal percentage of 43.0% this season. The Texas A&M Aggies are a perfect 5-0 in games where opponents have a FG% of 43.0% or greater.
The Texas A&M Aggies rank lower for their field goal percentage (45th) than they do for their effective field goal percentage (40th), but the Missouri Tigers have a better FG% ranking (233rd) than eFG% ranking (266th).
Ranked fourth in the nation, Texas A&M has an average of 19.1 assists per game. Missouri ranks lower at 285th with 11.9.
Texas A&M, the 75th-ranked team in rebounding, register an average of 38.9 rebounds per game. Missouri does worse, ranked 271st with 34.8.
The Missouri Tigers make an average of 5.9 steals per game. When the Texas A&M Aggies give up 5 or more steals, they are a superb 8-1.