The San Jose State Spartans (+28) aren’t traveling far to face their MWC nemesis San Diego State Aztecs at SDCCU Stadium. The game is scheduled to get underway at 10:30 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network has the TV rights.
San Jose State Spartans at San Diego State Aztecs Betting Preview
San Jose State is the noticeable underdog here and is currently receiving 28 points from oddsmakers. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 48 points, and this showdown could have some in-game betting opportunities.
The under has gotten most of the early sharp action, as this game’s total was initially placed at 51.
The less-than-stellar Spartans are down 4.5 units so far and 2-4 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an O/U record of 3-2. The Aztecs have been a pleasant surprise for moneyline bettors this season, gaining 6.6 units. They’re 2-4 ATS and have an O/U record of 1-5.
The Spartans are 0-6 straight up (SU), including 0-2 SU against MWC opponents. The Aztecs are 5-1 SU overall and 2-0 SU in conference play.
The Spartans lost to Army West Point 52-3 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Black Knights to eat up the clock by running for 341 yards on 65 rush attempts, including five rush TDs. Kelvin Hopkins Jr. had a productive day for the Black Knights in that one with 99 rushing yards and three touchdowns on 18 attempts. On the offense, Montel Aaron completed 12 passes on 17 attempts for just 118 yards. Tyler Nevens (43 rushing yards on 11 attempts) led the running attack in the loss. Thai Cottrell (three receptions, 27 yards) and Leki Nunn (three catches, 24 yards) handled the receiving duties.
The San Diego State Aztecs just earned a 21-17 win over Air Force. The defensive unit allowed the Falcons to run for 214 yards on 51 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Isaiah Sanders was a bright spot in the defeat, recording 49 rushing yards on 15 attempts for Air Force. For San Diego State, Ryan Agnew completed nine-of-25 passes for 213 yards, one touchdown and one interception. Chase Jasmin (70 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) handled the ground game in the win as Fred Trevillion (three receptions, 94 yards) and Tim Wilson Jr. (three catches, 50 yards) led the receiving attack.
San Jose State has run the ball on 45.1 percent of its offensive possessions this year while San Diego State has an overall rush percentage of 66.4 percent. The Spartans have produced 50 rush yards per game (including 44 per game against Mountain West opponents) and have six scores via handoffs this year. The Aztecs are putting up 172 rush yards per game (119 in conference) and have nine total rushing TDs.
It seems like the Aztecs might have the edge in terms of efficiency in the ground game. Their backfield has produced 4.0 yards per carry while their defense has allowed 2.5 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Spartans have tallied 1.6 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.1 to opponents.
The Spartans offense has averaged 259 yards through the air overall (344 per game against conference opposition) and has 10 passing scores so far. The Aztecs have produced 169 pass yards per outing (163.0 in the MWC) and have four total pass TDs.
Defensively, San Jose State has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 183 yards and throw for 290 yards per game. The San Diego State defense has given up 221.7 yards per game to opposing passers and 87.2 yards per game on the ground. The Aztecs are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 5.81 to opposing QBs, while the Spartans have given up a 6.67 ANY/A.
Offensively, Love is up to 1,030 passing yards this year, and has connected on 74-of-149 attempts with eight scores through the air and five interceptions. He’s got a 5.35 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.64 over the past two outings.
In the hosts’ locker room, Ryan Agnew has completed 44-of-88 passes for 677 yards, four TDs and four INTs. Agnew’s ANY/A stands at 5.46 for the year and 5.48 over his last two outings.
When these two teams faced one another last year, San Diego State knocked off San Jose State handily 52-7.
RELATED: Week 8 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: San Jose State Spartans vs. San Diego State Aztecs
SU Winner – San Diego State, ATS Winner – San Jose State, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Trends
The San Diego State defense has registered 12 sacks on the year while San Jose State has eight.
The San Diego State offense has lost four fumbles this season while the San Jose State offense has lost five.
The Spartans offense has recorded nine pass plays of 40 yards or more, while the Aztecs have put up one such play.
The San Jose State defense has allowed five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while San Diego State has given up six such plays.
The San Jose State offense has created two rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while San Diego State has created 12 such runs.
The Spartans defense has allowed nine rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Aztecs have given up two such runs.
The O/U for San Diego State’s last outing was set at 42.5. The under cashed in the team’s 21-17 triumph over Air Force.
In its last three contests, San Diego State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in each of those three.
In its last three matches, San Jose State is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in each of those three.
The O/U for San Jose State’s previous game was set at 50.5. The over cashed in the team’s 52-3 defeat to Army West Point.
As a team, San Jose State has averaged 1.2 yards per carry over its last three games and 1.3 over its last two.
San Diego State has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.1 over its past two.
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