In a battle featuring two schools that prefer running the football, Head Coach D.J. Durkin and the Maryland Terrapins (+17) are set to pay a visit to the No. 15 Michigan Wolverines (-17) at Michigan Stadium. Kickoff for this pivotal Big 10 matchup is set for 12:00 p.m. ET and ABC is scheduled to televise the action.
Maryland Terrapins at Michigan Wolverines Betting Preview
In this Saturday Big Ten game, Michigan has been tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 17 points. If they want to take the moneyline, bettors would currently have to put up $1,400 in order to win $100 back on the Wolverines (-1400). The Terrapins are getting +780 moneyline odds. Vegas has placed the over/under (O/U) at 52.5 points. If the favorites give up points early, it will likely produce a nice live betting opportunity.
Early action has shifted in the direction of the Terrapins, as the line opened at -18. The game’s total has yet to move after it was set initially at 52.5.
The disappointing Terrapins are 3-1 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 4.5 units so far in 2018. The team’s posted an O/U record of 2-2. The Wolverines have gained 0.5 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 2-3 ATS and have an O/U record of 2-3.
The Terrapins are 3-1 straight up (SU), including 1-0 SU against Big 10 opponents. The Wolverines are 4-1 SU overall and are also 2-0 SU in conference play.
When these two teams met a year ago, Michigan knocked Maryland off soundly 35-10.
The Terrapins hope to make it two in a row 42-13 win over Minnesota on September 22. The passing game was sharp as Kasim Hill completed 10-of-14 passes for just 117 yards and one touchdown. Ty Johnson (123 yards on 11 rush attempts, one TD) led the running attack while Taivon Jacobs (five receptions, 52 yards) and DJ Turner (one catch, 54 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
Michigan enters this one having just earned a 20-17 win over Northwestern. The team’s defense held its ground in the victory, keeping the Wildcats to just 174 passing yards and 28 yards on the ground. Flynn Nagel had a good outing in the defeat for Northwestern, recording 65 yards on six catches. For Michigan, Shea Patterson completed 15-of-24 passes for 196 yards. Karan Higdon (115 rushing yards on 30 attempts, two TDs) led the running game while Nico Collins (six receptions, 73 yards) and Zach Gentry (three catches, 46 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
Maryland has run the ball on 66.3 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Michigan has an overall rush percentage of 60.7 percent. The Terrapins have produced 259 rush yards/game and have 11 scores on the ground this year. The Wolverines are averaging 206 rush yards per game (233 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.
The Terps offense has tallied 141 yards per game through the air overall and has four passing TDs so far. The Wolverines have produced 206 pass yards per game (201.0 against Big 10 competition) and have nine total pass scores.
Maryland has let opponents rush for an average of 104 yards and pass for 210 yards per game. The Michigan D has given up 146.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 86.4 yards per game on the ground. The Wolverines are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 3.23 to opponents, while the Terrapins have allowed a 4.63 ANY/A.
Offensively, Hill has amassed 460 passing yards this season. The signal-caller has connected on 35-of-59 attempts with three scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. Hill’s got an 8.36 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 3.72 over the last two games.
Shea Patterson has completed 61-of-89 passes for 785 yards, six TDs and two INTs for Michigan. His ANY/A stands at 8.02 for the year and 6.73 across his past two outings.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Prediction: Maryland Terrapins vs. Michigan Wolverines
SU Winner – Michigan, ATS Winner – Michigan, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
Each team has lost one fumble this year.
The Michigan D has notched 16 sacks on the year while Maryland has just 10.
As a team, Maryland has averaged 7.36363636363636 yards per carry across its past three games and 6.6 over its last two.
Michigan has averaged 5.2 yards per carry over its last three outings and 5.3 over its past two.
Over its last three matches, Michigan is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Maryland was favored by 2 points in its previous game and the O/U was 46.5. The over cashed and Maryland covered in the 42-13 victory over Minnesota.
Over its last three matchups, Maryland is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Michigan was the underdog by 15 points in its previous matchup and the Over/Under was set at 46.5. The under cashed and Michigan covered in the 20-17 win over Northwestern.
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