In a collision of two schools that prefer running the football, Head Coach Mike Gundy and the Oklahoma State Cowboys (+18) are set to face off against the No. 6 Oklahoma Sooners (-18) at Gaylord Family-Oklahoma Memorial Stadium. ABC will televise the action and kickoff will take place at 3:30 p.m. ET.
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners Betting Preview
In this Saturday Big 12 game, Oklahoma has been tabbed as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 18 points. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, bettors would currently have to lay down $1,500 in order to win $100 back on the Sooners (-1500). The Cowboys are getting +810 moneyline odds. Oddsmakers have placed the over/under (O/U) at a seriously-high 76 points. If the favorite gets behind early, it’ll probably create a reasonable betting opportunity in-game.
Odds have shifted a hair from when they were originally posted. The line opened at -18 while the game’s over/under was set initially at 75.5.
The underwhelming Cowboys are down 14.4 units so far and 4-5 against the spread (ATS). The team’s posted an O/U mark of 4-4. The Sooners have gained 1.0 unit this season. The team is 4-5 ATS and owns an O/U record of 7-2.
The Cowboys are 5-4 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against Big 12 opponents. The Sooners are 8-1 SU overall and are also 5-1 SU in conference play.
These two programs met last year with the final result being a 62-52 victory for Oklahoma.
The Cowboys will attempt to get back on track after a 35-31 defeat to Baylor last week. Taylor Cornelius completed 24-of-41 passes for 287 yards and one touchdown. Justice Hill (119 yards on 18 rush attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Cornelius (19 yards on 12 carries, one TD) led the ground attack. Tylan Wallace (eight receptions, 122 yards, one TD) and Tyron Johnson (eight catches, 81 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
Oklahoma is coming off of a 51-46 win over Texas Tech. Kyler Murray completed 20-of-35 passes for 360 yards, three touchdowns and two interceptions. Trey Sermon (206 rushing yards on 26 attempts, three TDs) and the signal-caller Murray (100 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the running game as Marquise Brown (five receptions, 76 yards) and CeeDee Lamb (four catches, 51 yards) led the pass-catching attack in the win.
Oklahoma State has run the ball on 54.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Oklahoma has a rush percentage of 57.8 percent. The Cowboys have produced 200 rush yards per game (including 172 per game versus Big 12 opponents) and have 21 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Sooners are totaling 247 rushing yards per game (256 in conference) and have 26 total rush TDs.
It seems like the Sooners should have an edge in terms of effectiveness in the ground game. Their running backs has logged 6.7 yards per carry while the defense is allowing a YPC of 3.6 to opponents. The Cowboys have recorded 4.8 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 3.9 to opponents.
The Cowboys offense has logged 297 yards per game in the air overall (279 per game against conference opposition) and has 21 passing TDs so far. The Sooners have recorded 316 pass yards per contest (340.5 in the Big 12) and have 32 total pass scores.
Defensively, Oklahoma State has allowed 151 rush yards and 245 pass yards per game. The Oklahoma D has allowed 247.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 144.1 yards per game to opposing runners. The Cowboys are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.30 to opponents, while the Sooners have given up a 6.88 ANY/A.
Offensively, Cornelius is up to 2,301 passing yards this year. He’s completed 158-of-268 attempts with 17 passing scores and eight interceptions. Cornelius has a 7.31 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 7.74 over the last two games.
The Cowboys will likely try to control tempo by putting the ball into the hands of their running backs. In addition to receiver Tylan Wallace (840 receiving yards and five touchdowns), Justice Hill (803 rush yards, eight rush TDs) and Chuba Hubbard (235 rush yards, two rush TDs, one receiving TD) have been big focal points in the Oklahoma State offensive scheme.
On the other sideline, Kyler Murray has managed to complete 135-of-194 passes for 2,337 yards, 28 TDs and five INTs. Murray’s ANY/A stands at 12.85 for the year and 12.33 over his last two outings.
The Sooners will also try to dictate the game’s pace by turning to their backfield. In addition to Trey Sermon (118 receiving yards), CeeDee Lamb (565 receiving yards and seven receiving TDs) and Kyler Murray (528 rush yards, six rush TDs) have seen plenty of action lately.
NCAA Tip: Oklahoma State Cowboys at Oklahoma Sooners
SU Winner – Oklahoma, ATS Winner – Oklahoma State, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Oklahoma State D has 33 sacks on the year while Oklahoma has just 20.
The Oklahoma offense has lost three fumbles in 2018 while the Oklahoma State offense has lost five.
The Cowboys offense has tallied 10 pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Sooners have accounted for 16 such plays.
The Oklahoma State defense has allowed three pass plays of 40+ yards, while Oklahoma has given up nine such plays.
The Oklahoma State offense has created 21 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Oklahoma has created 25 such runs.
The Cowboys defense has allowed 11 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Sooners have given up six such runs.
The O/U for Oklahoma’s previous outing was set at 77.5. The over cashed in the 51-46 triumph over Texas Tech.
Over its last three contests, Oklahoma is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three matchups, Oklahoma State is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Oklahoma State’s last game was set at 68.5. The under cashed in the team’s 35-31 defeat to Baylor.
Oklahoma State has averaged 4.1 yards per carry across its last three outings and 4.0 over its last two.
Oklahoma has averaged 7.4 yards per carry over its last three games and 7.8 over its past two.
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