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NCAA Football Free Betting Pick – Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack

N.C. State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles
N.C. State Wolfpack vs Florida State Seminoles

The Florida State Seminoles (+7) are set to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack (-7) at Carter-Finley Stadium. ABC has the TV rights and the game is scheduled to get underway at 3:30 p.m. ET.

Florida State Seminoles vs. North Carolina State Wolfpack Betting Preview

This Saturday ACC pairing showcases the Seminoles as the underdogs and they’re currently receiving 7 points. If they want to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to spend $300 in order to win $100 back on the Pack (-300). The Seminoles are getting +220 moneyline odds. Should one team can create a bunch of points early it will result in a solid in-game betting opportunity. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 55.5 points.

Odds have shifted slightly from where they originally opened. The opening line was -7 and the game’s over/under was set initially at 55.

The disappointing Seminoles are 3-5 against the spread (ATS) and have lost 4.0 units so far. The team has recorded an O/U mark of 5-3. The Wolfpack are up 1.7 units for moneyline bettors this season. They’re 3-4 ATS and have an even O/U record of 3-3.

The Seminoles have gone 4-4 straight up (SU), including 2-4 SU against ACC opponents. The Wolfpack are 5-2 SU overall and 2-2 SU in conference play.

These two teams faced off a year ago with the final outcome being a 27-21 victory for North Carolina State.

The Seminoles fell to Clemson 59-10 in a blowout where their defense allowed the Tigers to pass for 404 yards and five touchdowns while rushing for 120 yards and three scores. On the offensive side, Deondre Francois completed just 17-of-36 passes for 180 yards and one interception. The Seminoles produced a grand total of -21 rushing yards as a team in the defeat.

North Carolina State just lost a 51-41 game to Syracuse. Ryan Finley completed 26-of-44 passes for 473 yards, three touchdowns and one interception. Reggie Gallaspy (65 rushing yards on 19 attempts, one TD) led the running game while Kelvin Harmon (11 receptions, 247 yards, two TDs) and Jakobi Meyers (five catches, 36 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.

Breaking down the offensive play-calling, each squad has a strikingly similar (48-52) run-pass ratio on the season. The Seminoles have rushed for 84 yards per game (including 69 per game against Atlantic Coast opponents) and have seven scores on the ground this year. The Pack are totaling 128 rush yards per game (143 in conference) and have 12 total rushing TDs.

The Noles offensive scheme has tallied 266 yards per game through the air overall (243 per game against conference opposition) and has 14 passing scores so far. The Pack have recorded 335 pass yards per contest (307.8 against ACC foes) and have 13 total pass TDs.

Defensively, Florida State has allowed opponents to run for an average of 103 yards and throw for 288 yards per game. The North Carolina State D has allowed 290.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 101.3 yards per game to opposing runners. The Noles are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 6.06 to opposing QBs, while the Pack have given up a 6.89 ANY/A.

Passing-wise, Francois is up to 1,686 yards this season, and has completed 59 percent of his 241 attempts with 11 scores through the air and seven interceptions. Francois has a 5.50 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 6.28 over the last two outings.

In the other locker room, Ryan Finley has managed to complete 156-of-231 passes for 2,094 yards, 13 TDs and four INTs. Finley’s ANY/A stands at 9.22 for the season and 6.74 across his last two outings.

RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free NCAA Betting Tip: Florida State Seminoles at North Carolina State Wolfpack

SU Winner – North Carolina State, ATS Winner – North Carolina State, O/U – Under

Click Here to Start Betting Today!

Notes

Betting Notes

The Over/Under for Florida State’s last game was 49. The over cashed in the team’s 59-10 defeat to Clemson.

As a team, Florida State has averaged 1.9 yards per rush attempt across its past three games and 1.7 over its last two.

North Carolina State has averaged 3.5 yards per carry over its last three outings and 2.9 over its last two.

North Carolina State has lost five fumbles this season while Florida State has lost 10.

In its last three matches, Florida State is 2-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.

The O/U for North Carolina State’s last outing going into it was 64.5. The over cashed in the 51-41 loss to Syracuse.

In its last three contests, North Carolina State is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.

The Seminoles offense has created four pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Wolfpack have accounted for seven such plays.

The Florida State defense has allowed 12 pass plays of 40 yards or more, while North Carolina State has given up seven such plays.

The Florida State offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while North Carolina State has created six such runs.

The Seminoles defense has allowed four rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Wolfpack have given up seven such runs.

The Florida State D has 24 sacks on the year while North Carolina State has 20.

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Written by GMS Previews

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