The Navy Midshipmen (-3.5) and Air Force Falcons will go head-to-head on the turf of Falcon Stadium. The opening kickoff for this showdown is scheduled for 3:30 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network has the TV rights.
Navy Midshipmen vs. Air Force Falcons Betting Preview
Air Force enters this game as the underdog and is currently getting 3.5 points. The Midshipmen are also receiving -175 moneyline odds while the Falcons are +155. Oddsmakers have determined the over/under (O/U) to be 49.5 points. On the surface it appears that there should be multiple solid live betting opportunities for this game.
This game’s line opened at 3. The total hasn’t moved after being initially placed at 49.5.
The underwhelming Midshipmen are 1-3 against the spread (ATS) and are down 6.6 units so far. The team has posted an Over-Under mark of 2-1. The Falcons are down 2.9 units this season. The team is 2-2 ATS and also owns an O/U record of 2-1.
The Midshipmen have gone 2-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Falcons are 1-3 SU.
The Midshipmen are on the rebound after a narrow 31-30 loss to SMU on September 22. The Midshipmen defense allowed the Mustangs to rush for 158 yards on 37 attempts. On the offensive side of the ball, the Midshipmen completed 1-of-4 passes for 25 yards and one touchdown. Garret Lewis went one-for-3 for 25 yards and one touchdown while Malcolm Perry completed zero-of-one for zero yards. Lewis (63 yards on 22 rush attempts, one TD) also mounted the ground attack and was complemented by Malcolm Perry (33 yards on 14 carries). Mychal Cooper (one receptions, 25 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the defeat.
Air Force just suffered a 28-25 defeat to Nevada. Donald Hammond III completed six-of-15 passes for 71 yards and one touchdown. Kadin Remsberg (71 rushing yards on 13 attempts) and Arion Worthman (-4 yards on 10 carries) handled the running game while Marcus Bennett (four receptions, 52 yards, one TD) and Ronald Cleveland (one catch, -4 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the loss.
Navy’s run the ball on 87.6 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Air Force has a rush percentage of 81.6 percent. The Midshipmen have rushed for 356 yards per game and have 17 scores on the ground this year. The Falcons are logging 255 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.
The Midshipmen offensive scheme has averaged 77 yards in the air overall and has two passing scores so far. The Falcons have put up 109 pass yards per contest and also have two total pass TDs.
Navy should possess an advantage when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to run for an average of 160 yards and pass for 230 yards per game. The Air Force defense has allowed 282.8 yards per game to opposing passers and 98.5 yards per game on the ground. The Midshipmen are allowing an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 6.16 to opponents, while the Falcons have given up an ugly 8.92 ANY/A.
Offensively, Lewis is up to 104 passing yards this year, and has connected on 50 percent of his 14 attempts with one scores through the air and has yet to throw an interception. He has a sparkling 8.20 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 13.78 over the past two outings.
Isaiah Sanders has connected on 17-of-30 passes for 289 yards, one TD and one INT for Air Force. His ANY/A sits at 7.61 for the year and 6.11 across his past two games.
When these two teams faced each other last year, Navy knocked Air Force off by a field goal 48-45.
RELATED: Week 6 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
NCAA Prediction: Navy Midshipmen vs. Air Force Falcons
SU Winner – Air Force, ATS Winner – Air Force, O/U – Over
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Notes
When it comes to explosive plays, each team has produced one pass play of 40 or more yards and two pass plays of 30+ yards.
The Navy defense has allowed two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Air Force has given up five such plays.
The Navy offense has created 11 rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Air Force has created two such runs.
The Midshipmen defense has allowed eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Falcons have given up five such runs.
The Navy D has sacked opposing quarterbacks six times this season. Air Force has recorded four sacks.
Navy has rushed for 5.15023474178404 yards per attempt over its past three outings and 6.0 over its last two.
Air Force has averaged 3.6 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.5 over its last two.
Over its last three contests, Air Force is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
Navy was getting 7 points in its last game and the Over/Under was 58. The over cashed and Navy covered in the 31-30 defeat to SMU.
Air Force was favored by 4 points in its last outing and the Over/Under was set at 62.5. The under cashed and Air Force failed to cover in that 28-25 defeat to Nevada.
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