The Broncos of Boise State (-14) are set to host the BYU Cougars at Albertsons Stadium. The game starts at 10:15 p.m. ET and ESPN2 is in line to televise the action.
BYU Cougars at Boise State Broncos Betting Preview
In this Saturday game, Boise State is getting picked as the heavy favorite and is currently giving up 14 points. If they are wanting to take the moneyline, gamblers would currently have to wager $600 in order to win $100 back on the Broncos (-600). The Cougars are getting +425 moneyline odds. If one team can create a bunch of points early it’ll generate a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 55.5 points.
The sharp action has been siding with both the Cougars and the over. The line initially opened at -15 while the game’s O/U was placed originally at 54.5.
The Cougars are down 2.0 units so far and 4-4 against the spread (ATS). They’ve been a good under bet and have posted an O/U record of 2-6. The Broncos are down 2.6 units this season. The team is 4-3-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 5-2-1.
The Cougars have gone 4-4 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Broncos are 6-2 SU.
These two programs faced off last year with the final result being a 24-7 victory for Boise State.
The Cougars fell to Northern Illinois 7-6 in a game where Zach Wilson completed 18 passes for 208 yards and one interception. Matt Bushman (three receptions, 63 yards) and Talon Shumway (three catches, 52 yards) shared the receiving duties in the defeat.
The Boise State Broncos just put together a 48-38 win over Air Force. The team’s defense let the Falcons run for 201 yards on 51 rush attempts, including two rush TDs. Isaiah Sanders was a bright spot in the defeat, posting 97 rushing yards and a score on 28 attempts for Air Force. For Boise State, Brett Rypien completed 20-of-34 passes for 399 yards and five touchdowns. Alexander Mattison (136 rushing yards on 22 attempts, one TD) led the running game while John Hightower (eight receptions, 182 yards, three TDs) and Sean Modster (six catches, 101 yards) led the pass-catching corps in the win.
BYU has run the ball on 52.9 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Boise State has an overall rush percentage of 49.3 percent. The Cougars have produced 134 rush yards per game and have 12 touchdowns on the ground this year. The Broncos are totaling 154 rush yards per game and have 14 total rushing TDs.
If the numbers so far this season can translate to this game, then it appears the Broncos might hold an edge when it comes to RB efficiency. Their running backs has generated 4.2 yards per carry while the defense has allowed 3.8 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Cougars have recorded 3.9 yards per carry while allowing a YPC of 4.0 to opponents.
The Cougars offense has logged 192 yards/game in the air overall and has 10 passing TDs so far. The Broncos have put up 332 pass yards per contest and have 24 total pass scores.
Defensively, BYU seems to have the upper hand when it comes to limiting the pass. The team has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 142 yards and throw for 193 yards per game. The Boise State D has allowed 227.3 yards per game to opposing passers and 132.0 yards per game on the ground. The Cougars are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of just 5.76 to opponents, while the Broncos have allowed a 6.58 ANY/A.
Offensively, Wilson is up to 272 passing yards this year. He’s completed 61 percent of his 36 attempts with one passing scores and one interception. He has a 5.46 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.40 over the last two outings.
On the other sideline, Brett Rypien has connected on 177-of-267 passes for 2,257 yards, 19 TDs and five INTs. Rypien’s ANY/A stands at 8.07 for the year and 13.14 over his last two games.
RELATED: Week 10 College Football Betting Odds and Predictions
Free Pick: BYU Cougars vs. Boise State Broncos
SU Winner – Boise State, ATS Winner – Boise State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Boise State defense has notched double the sack total of BYU this year (24 to 12).
The Boise State offense has lost three fumbles this season while the BYU offense has lost four.
The Cougars offense has created two pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Broncos have put up 10 such plays.
The BYU defense has allowed three pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Boise State has given up six such plays.
The BYU offense has created seven rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Boise State has created 10 such runs.
The Cougars defense has allowed six rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while the Broncos have given up nine such runs.
The O/U for Boise State’s last matchup was set at 57. The over cashed in the team’s 48-38 victory over Air Force.
In its last three games, Boise State is 1-1-1 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
In its last three matches, BYU is 1-2 ATS and the over cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for BYU’s previous game was 44.5. The under cashed in the team’s 7-6 defeat to Northern Illinois.
As a team, BYU has averaged 4.1 yards per rush attempt over its last three games and 4.4 over its last two.
Boise State has averaged 4.3 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.9 over its past two.
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