The Rockets (-12) are prepared to host the Nevada Wolf Pack in Toledo. This key afternoon game starts at 12:00 p.m. ET and CBS Sports Network is scheduled to broadcast the action.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Toledo Rockets Betting Preview
In this Saturday game, Toledo is tabbed as the big favorite and is currently giving up 12 points. The Wolf Pack are also receiving +340 moneyline odds while the Rockets are -475. Oddsmakers have set the over/under (O/U) at 66.5 points. If Toledo falls behind early, it will likely create a nice in-game betting scenario.
The sharp action has been siding with the Rockets, as the opening line was -10. The game’s total has yet to change after it was initially posted at 66.5.
The Wolf Pack have gained 0.0 units so far and are 1-2 against the spread (ATS). The team has posted an Over-Under record of 1-1. The Rockets have lost 1.0 unit this season. The team is 1-1 ATS and has an O/U record of 1-0.
The Wolf Pack have gone 2-1 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Rockets are 1-1 SU.
When these two teams met a year ago, Toledo got the victory 37-24.
The Wolf Pack are coming off a 37-35 win over Oregon State last week. The passing attack was messy as Ty Gangi completed just 17 passes on 35 attempts for 195 yards, two scores and one interception. Toa Taua (81 rushing yards on 12 attempts, one TD) and the signal-caller Gangi (61 yards on eight carries) spearheaded the running attack. McLane Mannix (five receptions, 85 yards, one TD) and Jaxson Kincaide (four catches, 12 yards, one TD) handled the receiving duties in the win.
One week ago, Miami (FL) knocked off this Toledo team by a score of 49-24. The Rockets defense allowed the Hurricanes to eat up the clock by rushing for 268 yards on 53 attempts, including five rush TDs. Jeff Thomas had a good showing for Miami (FL), accounting for 19 rushing yards on one attempt, along with 105 yards on five catches. For Toledo, Mitchell Guadagni completed 13-of-21 passes for 222 yards, two touchdowns and one interception. Guadagni (47 rushing yards on 15 attempts) mounted the running game while Diontae Johnson (six receptions, 119 yards, two TDs) and Seymour (two catches, 34 yards) led the Toledo pass-catchers in the loss.
Nevada has run the ball on 46.4 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Toledo has an overall rush percentage of 59.6 percent. The Wolf Pack have rushed for 135 yards/game and have six touchdowns on the ground this year. The Rockets are logging 163 rushing yards per game and have six total rush TDs.
Based on the early season results, it seems like the Wolf Pack could own an advantage in all aspects of the ground game. Their backfield has generated 4.5 yards per carry while the defense is allowing 3.2 yards per rush attempt to opponents. The Rockets have rushed for 4.0 yards per carry and given up 3.9 yards per rush attempt to opponents.
The Wolf Pack offensive scheme has tallied 279 yards per contest through the air overall and has seven passing TDs so far. The Rockets have recorded 306 pass yards per contest and have five total pass scores.
Defensively, Nevada has allowed 129 rush yards and 323 pass yards per game. The Toledo D has given up 189.5 yards per game to opposing passers and 160.5 yards per game on the ground. The Rockets are giving up an adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) of only 4.03 to opponents, while the Wolf Pack have allowed a 6.66 ANY/A.
Offensively, Gangi has put up 537 passing yards this year, and has connected on 33-of-61 attempts with five passing scores and two interceptions. Gangi’s got an 8.51 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number sits at 4.10 over the last two outings.
Mitchell Guadagni has connected on 13-of-21 passes for 222 yards, two TDs and one INT for Toledo. His ANY/A sits at 7.68 for the season and 12.61 across his last two outings.
NCAA Pick: Nevada Wolf Pack at Toledo Rockets
SU Winner – Toledo, ATS Winner – Toledo, O/U – Under
Click Here to Start Betting Today!
Notes
Team Betting Trends
The Nevada defensive unit has 10 sacks on the year while Toledo has just four.
The Toledo offense has lost zero fumbles this season while the Nevada offense has lost two.
The Wolf Pack offense has created four pass plays of 40+ yards, while the Rockets have accounted for two such plays.
The Nevada defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Toledo has given up two such plays.
The Nevada offense has created five rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Toledo has created zero such run.
The Wolf Pack defense has allowed three rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Rockets have given up one such run.
Toledo was the underdog by 12 points in its last game and the Over/Under was set at 57.5. The over cashed and Toledo failed to cover in the 49-24 defeat to Miami (FL).
Nevada was favored by 4 points in its previous game and the O/U was 68. The over cashed and Nevada was not able to cover in the 37-35 victory over Oregon State.
*****
