The New England Patriots (-6.5) are set to take on the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. CBS will televise the action and this key early afternoon game is scheduled to get going at 1:00 p.m. ET.
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans Betting Preview
Tennessee is the home underdog in this AFC game and is currently getting 6.5 points. The Patriots are also receiving -260 moneyline odds while the Titans are +220. If one side can find paydirt early it will create a reasonable betting opportunity in-game. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 46.5 points.
Both of these teams have been profitable this year as the Patriots have gained 3.0 units and the Titans are up 1.6 units.
The Patriots are 7-2 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Titans are 4-4 SU.
The Patriots are trying to maintain momentum following a solid 31-17 win over Green Bay last weekTheir defense allowed the Packers to run for 118 yards on 25 rush attempts. Marquez Valdes-Scantling had a good day for the Packers in that one with 101 yards on three catches. Offensively, Tom Brady completed 22-of-35 passes for 294 yards and one touchdown. James White (just 31 yards on 12 rush attempts, but two TDs) and Cordarrelle Patterson (61 yards on 11 carries, one TD) led the running attack in the win while Julian Edelman (six receptions, 71 yards) and White (six catches, 72 yards) handled the receiving duties.
Tennessee enters this one having just earned a 28-14 win over Dallas in Week 9. The allowed the Cowboys to put up 243 yards through the air and 72 more on the ground. Ezekiel Elliott had a good showing in the defeat, posting 61 rushing yards on 17 attempts, along with 51 yards on four catches for Dallas. For Tennessee, Marcus Mariota completed 21-of-29 passes for 240 yards and two touchdowns. Dion Lewis (62 rushing yards on 19 attempts) and the signal-caller Mariota (32 yards on 10 carries, one TD) led the ground game in the win as Corey Davis (six receptions, 56 yards) led the pass-catching corps.
New England has run the ball on 43.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 50.2 percent. The Patriots have run for 116 yards/game and have 11 touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Titans are averaging 110 rushing yards per game and have five total rush TDs.
The Pats offensive scheme has averaged 281 yards through the air overall and has 17 passing scores so far. The Titans have produced 198 pass yards per game and have seven total pass TDs.
New England has allowed opponents to rush for an average of 107 yards and pass for 286 yards per game. The Tennessee defense has allowed 239.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 107.3 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to the opposition, as the Pats have given up an ANY/A of 6.16 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are allowing an ANY/A of 6.31.
Offensively, Brady is up to 2,170 passing yards on the year, and has connected on 67 percent of his 285 attempts with 17 scores through the air and seven interceptions. He’s got a 7.16 adjusted net yards per pass attempt.
Marcus Mariota has completed 96-of-147 passes for 1,033 yards, four TDs and four INTs for Tennessee. His ANY/A stands at a less-than-spectacular 4.82 for the season and 6.81 over his past two outings.
These two teams met last year with the final result being a 35-14 win for New England.
RELATED: Week 10 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions
Betting Pick: New England Patriots vs. Tennessee Titans
SU Winner – Patriots, ATS Winner – Patriots, O/U – Over
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Notes
Team Betting Notes
The Tennessee defense has tallied 20 sacks on the year while New England has just 13.
The Tennessee offense has lost four fumbles in 2018 while New England has lost six.
The Patriots offense has produced five pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Titans have put up two such plays.
The New England defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 or more yards, while Tennessee has given up four such plays.
The New England offense has created four rushing plays of 20 or more yards, while Tennessee has created three such runs.
The Patriots defense has allowed five rushing plays of 20+ yards, while the Titans have given up two such runs.
The O/U for Tennessee’s last match was set at 40. The over cashed in the team’s 28-14 victory over Dallas.
Over its last three games, Tennessee is 2-1 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Over its last three games, New England is 3-0 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The O/U for New England’s last game was set at 56. The under cashed in the team’s 31-17 victory over Green Bay.
New England has averaged 3.7 yards per carry over its last three games and 3.6 over its last two.
Tennessee has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three contests and 4.2 over its past two.
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