The New Mexico Lobos (4-1) travel to New Mexico State to take on the Aggies (6-1) in a matchup that pits phenomenal offense against stifling defense. The game is scheduled to start at 9 p.m. ET on Tuesday, December 4, 2018.
New Mexico Lobos vs. New Mexico State Aggies Betting Prediction
In the Lobos’ last outing, they topped the Bradley Braves, 85-75. The Lobos, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 28.6, had a fantastic mark of 37.1 and had a better free throw rate (0.350 vs. 0.310). New Mexico rallied around Corey Manigault, who recorded 18 points and 11 rebounds.
The Aggies defeated the Washington State Cougars in their last contest, 69-63. New Mexico State’s free throw rate was their biggest advantage over Washington State. The Aggies had a rate of 0.276 (above their season average of 0.257), while the Cougars posted a mark of 0.037 (below their season average of 0.207). C.J. Bobbitt led New Mexico State in scoring with 15 points on 5-for-6 shooting from the field.
This is the second game of the season between these two teams. AJ Harris scored a game-high 31 points in the first game, in which the Aggies defeated the Lobos 98-94. The Aggies had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (37.0 vs. 19.2) and had a better free throw rate (0.491 vs. 0.404).
The offensive glass should be a major advantage for New Mexico State in this contest. The Aggies rank 28th in offensive rebounding percentage (34.3 percent), while New Mexico ranks 305th in defensive rebounding percentage (68.5 percent) dating back to last season. Moreover, the Lobos’ 36th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 113.1) will battle against the Aggies’ 10th-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 93.2).
New Mexico vs. New Mexico State Pick
College Basketball Pick: SU Winner – New Mexico State, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
New Mexico State ranks 11th in rebounds per game (40.4) while New Mexico ranks 323rd (31.9).
The Lobos rank 46th in steals per game (7.4) while the Aggies rank 228th (5.5).
New Mexico State ranks second in assists allowed per game (9.2) while New Mexico ranks 180th (13.6).
The Aggies rank eighth in blocks allowed per game (2.3) while the Lobos rank 131st (3.3).
New Mexico ranks 11th in three pointers attempted per game (28.3) while New Mexico State ranks 117th in three pointers allowed per game (21.1).
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