The SBC’s third-leading rusher, Matt Breida (738 yards, 10 TDs), and the Georgia Southern Eagles meet top rusher, Larry Rose III (605 yards, 6 TDs), and the New Mexico State Aggies. Georgia Southern (4-1) and New Mexico State (0-5) enter this week’s game headed in two different directions. The game will begin Saturday, Oct 17 at 6:00 p.m. ET.
Georgia Southern blew out Louisiana-Monroe 51-31 in their last game. Matt Breida had an outstanding performance on the ground in the win, gaining 149 yards and two TDs on 19 carries. LA Ramsby had a big game as well, totaling 98 rushing yards and two TDs on 13 attempts. New Mexico State didn’t have the same success as Georgia Southern, getting dominated by Ole Miss 52-3. Teldrick Morgan had a good game for the Aggies, registering five receptions for 33 yards.
The Eagles are a heavy 26-point favorite and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is unavailable at the moment.
Heading into Week 7 of the college football season, the Eagles are 4-1 Straight Up (SU) and 3-1 Against The Spread (ATS). A heavy dosage of the Georgia Southern run game could be featured. They currently average a Division I-best 377.4 rushing yards per game. As for the Georgia Southern defense, there are important areas to keep an eye on. One of the keys to the game will be whether the Aggies can protect the ball against the ambitious defense of the Eagles, who rank fifth in the nation with 2.8 turnovers per game. Georgia Southern usually finishes games strong, averaging 10.2 points in the fourth quarter. Mistakes and a lack of focus may be factors that benefit the Eagles in the game. The Aggies are one of the most penalized teams in the nation with 55 penalty yards per game.
Across the field, the Aggies have 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS records this season. The Aggies are usually effective at running the ball, owning the 24th-best yards per carry average in the nation at 5.3. Switching gears to the New Mexico State defense, it has some favorable matchups that it may be able to take advantage of as well. The Eagles will need to secure the ball against the turnover-minded Aggies. The defense ranks 19th in the country in turnovers with 2.2 per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – Georgia Southern, ATS Winner – Georgia Southern
Notes
Ga Southern is 12-2 SU in its last 14 games.
Ga Southern is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home.
New Mexico State is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of New Mexico State’s last 16 games on the road.
New Mexico State is 0-1 SU when leading at the start of the 4th quarter this season. Georgia Southern is 4-0 SU when leading at the end of the third quarter.
