The SBC’s top rusher, Larry Rose III (1,286 yards, 12 TDs), will be on display when the New Mexico State Aggies meet the Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin’ Cajuns. Louisiana-Lafayette (4-5) has won three of its last five, showing signs of life in what has been a relatively disappointing season. The game will begin Saturday, Nov 21 at 5:00 p.m. ET.
Louisiana-Lafayette was defeated by South Alabama 32-25 last week. Jamal Robinson had a big game in the loss, totaling 10 catches for 188 yards and one TD. Brooks Haack also had a great game with 270 yards and a TD through the air. New Mexico State is hoping for another victory like its last game, when it beat Texas State 31-21. Larry Rose III had an outstanding performance running the ball for the Aggies, totaling 207 yards and two TDs on 31 carries. He added 85 yards and a TD on two receptions. Nick Jeanty also had a big game with 297 yards and two TDs through the air.
The Aggies are a 14-point underdog against the Ragin’ Cajuns and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is presently unavailable.
With a 4-5 record both Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS), the Ragin’ Cajuns will look to improve as they head into Week 12. Over their last five games, the Ragin’ Cajuns have records of 3-2 SU and 2-3 ATS. Look for Louisiana-Lafayette to take advantage of an inferior run defense. The Aggies are 124th in the country against the run, giving up 268.6 rushing yards per game. The Louisiana-Lafayette pass defense has played at another level the past five games. It has given up 234.4 passing yards per game during that span. A vital part of the game will be whether the Ragin’ Cajuns can attack New Mexico State’s offensive line, which currently is 105th in the nation in sacks allowed with 2.8 per game. Louisiana-Lafayette can likely capitalize on how the Aggies are one of the worst in the country at preventing scoring in the fourth quarter, allowing an average of 11.1 points.
As for their opponent, the Aggies have a record of 4-5 ATS and 2-7 SU. The Aggies went 2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS over the last five games. The defensive front seven better be ready for New Mexico State’s bruising rushing attack which has averaged 201.4 yards on the ground over its past five games.
Predictions: SU Winner – Louisiana-Lafayette, ATS Winner – Louisiana-Lafayette
Notes
Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games.
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 14 of Louisiana-Lafayette’s last 20 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 15 of New Mexico State’s last 18 games on the road.
New Mexico State is 0-2 SU when leading at the half this season. Louisiana-Lafayette is 2-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
New Mexico State is winless (0-2 SU) in games where it comes out ahead in the turnover battle, and 1-3 SU when losing the turnover battle.
The Louisiana-Lafayette rushing attack is ranked 44th in the nation, while the New Mexico State run defense is only ranked 124th. The Aggies running game is ranked 43rd, compared to the 82nd-ranked rush defense of the Ragin’ Cajuns.
