The New Mexico Lobos host the New Mexico State Aggies at University Stadium this week. The game will begin Saturday, Oct 3 at 8:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on ROOT.
New Mexico beat Wyoming 38-28 last week. Carlos Wiggins had a solid outing in the win, totaling one reception for 64 yards and one TD. Richard McQuarley finished with 55 rushing yards and two TDs on five attempts. New Mexico State didn’t have the same success as New Mexico, barely losing to UTEP 50-47 in its matchup. Teldrick Morgan had an outstanding performance for the Aggies, registering four receptions for 151 yards and one TD. Larry Rose III had a big game as well, totaling 196 rushing yards and a TD on 20 attempts.
The odds are even for this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is unavailable at the moment.
Heading into Week 5 of the college football season, the Lobos are 2-2 Straight Up (SU) and 3-1 Against The Spread (ATS). The New Mexico run game is productive, currently ranking 14th in the nation with 267.5 rushing yards per game. Turning to the Lobos defense, a few key spots could be deciding factors this week. New Mexico’s defense will look to improve its stats against the run when the Aggies come to town. New Mexico State’s 140.7 rushing yards per game makes them 101st in the nation. A vital part of the game will be whether the Aggies can protect their quarterback from New Mexico’s hungry defense. It averages the 16th-most sacks in the nation with three per game. The Lobos make it hard on their opponents early, averaging 12.2 points in the first 15 minutes. The Lobos could have little trouble winning the time of possession battle this week. New Mexico State averages a time of only 24:19 per game, ranking them 124th in Division I.
On the other side, the Aggies are clearly doing something wrong with a 0-3 record SU and ATS so far this season. Passing the ball has yielded impressive results thus far for the Aggies. They average 14.5 yards per pass, one of the best rates in Division I.
Predictions: SU Winner – New Mexico, ATS Winner – New Mexico
Notes
New Mexico is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico’s last 6 games.
New Mexico is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games at home.
New Mexico is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New Mexico’s last 13 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of New Mexico’s last 10 games when playing New Mexico State.
New Mexico is 9-3 SU in its last 12 games when playing New Mexico State.
New Mexico is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against New Mexico State.
New Mexico is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against New Mexico State.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Mexico’s last 5 games when playing at home against New Mexico State.
New Mexico State is 0-1 SU when leading at the half this season. New Mexico is 2-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Among all FBS teams, the New Mexico offensive passing game is ranked 121st nationally, while the New Mexico State pass defense is only ranked 126th. The Aggies passing attack is ranked 28th, compared to the 98th-ranked pass defense of the Lobos.
