The Golden State Warriors (1-0) square off against the New Orleans Pelicans (0-1) at ORACLE Arena in game two of the Western Conference Semifinals. The game begins at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 1, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 226.5 points with Golden State opening as an 11-point favorite.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors ATS Prediction
In game one, Green registered a triple-double. He put up 16 points, 15 rebounds and 11 assists and the Warriors beat the Pelicans 123-101, covering as 7-point favorites. The game finished with a total of 224 points, which was just 1 points above the projected point total of 223 points. The Warriors made 24 of their 32 free throws (75.0 percent) and had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (27.1 vs. 13.7).
The productive offense of Golden State (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 112.7) will square off against the mid-tier defense of New Orleans (14th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 106.2). The Warriors figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
New Orleans comes into the contest with records of 52-35 straight up (SU) and 49-37-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Pelicans are involved, as 51 of their 87 games have gone over the total.
Golden State has an outstanding 63-25 SU record, but they struggle covering the spread (37-48-3 ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Warriors games, with 44 overs compared to 43 unders.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Rajon Rondo (13.4 assists, 12.8 points, 7.0 rebounds and 1.4 steals) has been great for the Pelicans while Draymond Green (11.4 points, 11.2 rebounds, 8.0 assists and 1.4 steals) has made great contributions to the Warriors.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors Free Pick
NBA Prediction: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New Orleans is 28-16 ATS on the road with 23 unders and 21 overs.
At home, Golden State is 18-25-2 ATS with 22 overs, 22 unders and 1 push.
In games where they allow under 100 points, New Orleans is 13-2 and Golden State is 18-5.
In games where they score more than 100 points, the Pelicans are 48-23 and the Warriors are 59-15.
Golden State averages 18.9 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. New Orleans ranks 26th in fast break points allowed per game (14.3).
The Pelicans average 8.0 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. The Warriors rank 29th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
New Orleans averages 52.4 points in the paint per game, which ranks first in the league. Golden State ranks 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.9).
The Warriors rank sixth in rebounds allowed per game (42.2) while the Pelicans rank 25th (45.5).
Golden State averages 29.2 assists per game, which ranks first in the league. New Orleans ranks 19th in assists allowed per game (23.6).
The Warriors rank fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.2) while the Pelicans rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.3).
New Orleans ranks 19th in second chance points per game (11.8) while Golden State ranks 29th (10.3).
The Warriors rank 17th in three pointers attempted per game (28.8) while the Pelicans rank 24th in three pointers allowed per game (30.6).
Golden State allows the fewest blocks per game (3.6) while New Orleans ranks fourth (4.2).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, New Orleans is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders over their last five games.
The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 2.8, up from 1.4 for the season.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 107.6 points per game (5.5 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.6 points per game (8.2 below their season average).
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