The Golden State Warriors (3-1) will look to advance to the Western Conference Finals when they square off with the New Orleans Pelicans (1-3) at ORACLE Arena in game five of the Western Conference Semifinals. The game starts at 10:30 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 8, 2018, and will air on TNT.
The Over/Under (O/U) for the game opened at 228 points with Golden State set as a 12-point favorite.
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors Free Prediction
Durant scored a game-high 38 points in game four, in which the Warriors defeated the Pelicans 118-92, covering as 6-point favorites. He also had nine rebounds and five assists. The game finished with a total of 210 points, which was 21.5 points below the projected point total of 231.5 points. Golden State had a much better turnover percentage (9.7 vs. 15.8). New Orleans, on the other hand, had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (20.0 vs. 10.9).
Golden State should have the edge on the offensive side of the ball. The Warriors currently rank second in offensive efficiency, while New Orleans ranks 13th in defensive efficiency.
New Orleans heads into the game with records of 53-37 straight up (SU) and 51-38-1 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to set the total low when the Pelicans are involved, as 52 of their 90 games have ended over the O/U total.
Golden State has a superb 65-26 SU record, but they are just 38-50-3 ATS. Warriors games have a slight tendency to finish over the total (49.5 percent).
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Rajon Rondo (14.2 assists, 11.6 points, 7.4 rebounds and 1.8 steals) has been fantastic for the Pelicans while Draymond Green (14.6 points, 14.6 rebounds and 9.6 assists) has contributed greatly to the Warriors.
New Orleans Pelicans at Golden State Warriors ATS Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Warriors, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, New Orleans is 29-16 ATS with 23 unders and 22 overs.
At home, Golden State is 18-26-2 ATS with 23 overs, 22 unders and 1 push.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Golden State is 19-5 and New Orleans is 13-2.
In games where they reach 100 points, the Warriors are 61-16 and the Pelicans are 49-24.
Golden State averages 19.0 fast break points per game, which ranks first in the league. New Orleans ranks 28th in fast break points allowed per game (14.5).
The Pelicans rank first in points in the paint per game (52.6) while the Warriors rank 23rd (43.4).
New Orleans averages 8.0 steals per game, which ranks eighth in the league. Golden State ranks 29th in steals allowed per game (8.7).
The Warriors average 29.2 assists per game, which ranks first in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 21st in assists allowed per game (23.8).
Golden State ranks fifth in points off turnovers per game (17.4) while New Orleans ranks 24th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4).
The Warriors rank eighth in rebounds allowed per game (42.5) while the Pelicans rank 25th (45.5).
Golden State ranks 14th in three pointers allowed per game (29.1) while New Orleans ranks 26th (30.8).
The Pelicans rank 17th in second chance points per game (12.0) while the Warriors rank 29th (10.3).
Golden State ranks first in blocks allowed per game (3.6) while New Orleans ranks fourth (4.3).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, New Orleans is 3-2 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Golden State is 2-3 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over their last five games.
The Pelicans have been outscored by an average of 5.2 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has defeated opponents by an average of 1.2 points.
During their last five games, the Warriors have scored an average of 112.2 points per game (0.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 103.8 points per game (3.1 below their season average).
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