The New Orleans Pelicans (10-7) and the Philadelphia 76ers (12-7), who both like to play fast, will clash at Wells Fargo Center. The game begins at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 21, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 235 points with Philadelphia set as a 3.5-point favorite.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction
The Pelicans will be hoping for a similar result after covering the 7.5-point spread against the San Antonio Spurs in their last game, 140-126. The total points for the game (266) were well over the projected point total of 222. New Orleans’ 8.5 turnover percentage was their largest advantage over San Antonio, who had a rate of 12.3. The Pelicans’ mark was better than their season average of 12.5. Julius Randle played a huge role in the victory for New Orleans, accumulating 21 points, 14 rebounds and 10 assists on his way to his zeroth triple-double this season.
In the 76ers’ last game, they were victorious over the Phoenix Suns, 119-114, but were not able to cover as 11-point favorites. The game’s combined points (233) finished over the projected point total of 219.5. Philadelphia’s rebounding was their largest advantage. The 76ers had 13 offensive rebounds and 53 total rebounds, while the Suns had five and 31, respectively. Joel Embiid was Philadelphia’s high scorer with 33 points on 12-for-23 shooting from the field.
There could be a fair amount of transition offense in this contest that features two of the NBA’s more up-tempo teams. Philadelphia currently ranks fifth in possessions per game (106.4) and New Orleans is third (106.8). Also, the Pelicans rank fourth in effective field goal percentage (0.540), while the 76ers rank third in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.497).
New Orleans heads into the game with records of 10-7 straight up (SU) and 8-9 against the spread (ATS). Vegas tends to place the total low when the Pelicans are playing, as 58.8 percent of their contests have gone over the projected point total.
Philadelphia has a solid 12-7 SU record, but they have difficulty covering the spread (8-11 ATS). Much like New Orleans, 76ers games also have typically gone over the total (63.2 percent).
E’Twaun Moore has averaged 21 points over the last five games for New Orleans.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. The 76ers won the most recent contest 100-82. The 76ers had a much better effective field goal percentage (0.495 vs. 0.389) and had a better offensive rebounding percentage (17.4 vs. 13.8).
Pelicans vs. 76ers Betting Pick
Free Prediction: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New Orleans is 3-5 ATS on the road with 5 overs and 3 unders.
Philadelphia is 5-4 ATS at home with 6 overs and 3 unders.
When holding opponents under 100 points, Philadelphia is 3-0 and New Orleans is 2-0.
When scoring over 100 points, the Pelicans are 10-6 and the 76ers are 12-5.
New Orleans ranks first in points in the paint per game (60.7) while Philadelphia ranks 21st (44.7).
The 76ers rank fourth in assists per game (26.1) while the Pelicans rank 24th in assists allowed per game (24.8).
New Orleans ranks eighth in points off turnovers allowed per game (15.8) while Philadelphia ranks 27th (19.8).
The Pelicans rank second in second chance points per game (16.8) while the 76ers rank 18th (13.1).
Philadelphia ranks 11th in fast break points allowed per game (12.8) while New Orleans ranks 26th (16.5).
The 76ers rank 12 in three pointers attempted per game (32) while the Pelicans rank 25 (27.647058823529413).
Philadelphia averages 48.78947368421053 rebounds per game, which ranks 3 in the league. New Orleans ranks 10 in rebounds allowed per game (43.588235294117645).
The Pelicans average 5.823529411764706 blocks per game, which ranks 9 in the league. The 76ers rank 15 in blocks allowed per game (5.105263157894737).
Philadelphia ranks 20 in steals allowed per game (7.842105263157895) while New Orleans ranks 25 (8.647058823529411).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five games, New Orleans is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Philadelphia is 3-2 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under over its last five games.
The Pelicans’ average margin of victory in their last five games has been 7.6, up from 2.7 for the season.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 116.8 points per game (3.6 above their season average) and allowed an average of 113.0 points per game (0.1 above their season average).
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