The Toronto Raptors (12-1) put their six-game winning streak on the line when they clash against the New Orleans Pelicans (6-6) at Scotiabank Arena. The game starts at 7:30 p.m. ET on Monday, November 12, 2018, and will air on NBATV.
New Orleans Pelicans vs. Toronto Raptors Betting Prediction
The Pelicans will be hoping for similar success after comfortably covering the 9-point spread against the Phoenix Suns in their last matchup, 119-99. The total points for the game (218) finished under the O/U total of 228.5. The Pelicans, who came into the game averaging an offensive rebounding percentage of 24.7, had a phenomenal mark of 37.2 and had a free throw rate of 0.279 (above their season average of 0.230). New Orleans rallied around Anthony Davis, who was the top scorer from either team with 26 points on 7-for-18 shooting.
The last time the Raptors took the court, they beat the New York Knicks, 128-112, covering as 14-point favorites. The total points for the game (240) finished well over the projected point total of 217. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Toronto’s largest advantages. They made 40 trips to the line, while New York went just 22 times. With 19 points and 10 rebounds, Jonas Valanciunas had a good game for Toronto.
The prolific offense of Toronto (second in the NBA with an offensive efficiency of 114.8) will square off against the porous defense of New Orleans (24th in the league with a defensive efficiency of 109.6). The Raptors figure to have the advantage on that end of the court.
New Orleans holds records of 6-6 straight up (SU) and 5-7 against the spread (ATS). Of the Pelicans’ 12 games, six have finished over, five have finished under and one has pushed.
Meanwhile, Toronto owns records of 12-1 SU and 8-5 ATS. Of the Raptors’ 13 games, 9 have finished over the total.
Both teams have had a player step their game up over their last five games. Jrue Holiday (22.6 points, 10.0 assists and 1.4 steals) has been great for the Pelicans while Serge Ibaka (19.0 points, 8.2 rebounds, 1.6 blocks and 1.2 steals) has contributed greatly to the Raptors.
After the Raptors won both games against the Pelicans last season, these teams will meet for the first time this year. In the last game, Toronto won 125-116. Toronto’s free throw rate was their biggest strength over New Orleans. The Raptors had a rate of 0.250, while the Pelicans posted a mark of 0.154.
Pelicans at Raptors Betting Pick
Pick: SU Winner – Pelicans, ATS Winner – Pelicans, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New Orleans is 2-4 ATS on the road with 4 overs and 2 unders.
Toronto is 4-3 ATS at home with 6 overs and 1 under.
In games where they hold opponents under 100 points, Toronto is 1-0 and New Orleans is 2-0.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Pelicans are 6-5 and the Raptors are 12-1.
Toronto ranks sixth in steals per game (8.6) while New Orleans ranks 25th in steals allowed per game (8.5).
The Raptors rank sixth in points in the paint per game (53.2) while the Pelicans rank 25th in points allowed in the paint per game (51.8).
New Orleans ranks third in second chance points allowed per game (11.1) while Toronto ranks 18th (14.5).
The Raptors average 19.4 fast break points per game, which ranks fourth in the NBA. The Pelicans rank 19th in fast break points allowed per game (15.4).
Toronto averages 25.2 assists per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. New Orleans ranks 22nd in assists allowed per game (25.3).
The Raptors rank ninth in three pointers attempted per game (33.8) while the Pelicans rank 18th in three pointers allowed per game (32.0).
Toronto averages 18.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks eighth in the league. New Orleans ranks 14th in points off turnovers allowed per game (16.7).
The Raptors average 5.7 blocks per game, which ranks 10th in the league. The Pelicans rank 12th in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
New Orleans ranks fifth in rebounds allowed per game (43.3) while Toronto ranks sixth (44.1).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, New Orleans is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Toronto is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Pelicans have been outscored by an average of 0.8 points in their last five games. For the season, New Orleans has defeated opponents by an average of 0.7 points.
During their last five games, the Raptors have scored an average of 118.8 points per game (0.9 above their season average) and allowed an average of 106.6 points per game (1.5 below their season average).
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