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New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts: Free Week 16 Betting Prediction

Sergio Estrada-USA TODAY Sports

The New York Giants (+9) are heading west to take on the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium. This early afternoon game is scheduled to begin at 1:00 p.m. ET and interested parties can catch the action live on CBS.

New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts Betting Preview

New York is a noticeable road underdog in this game and is currently receiving 9 points. If they are wanting to play the moneyline, gamblers would currently need to wager $400 in order to win $100 back on the Colts (-400). The Giants are getting +300 moneyline odds. Vegas has determined the over/under (O/U) to be 47 points. Multiple good live betting scenarios might present themselves during this matchup.

The Giants are 7-6-1 against the spread (ATS) and are down 2.3 units this season. The team’s posted an O/U record of 7-7. The Colts are up 2.5 units in 2018. The team is 7-6-1 ATS and owns an O/U record of 6-8.

The Giants are 5-9 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Colts are 8-6 SU.

The G-Men dropped one to Tennessee 17-0 in a Week 15 thumping where the passing game left much to be desired as Eli Manning completed just 21-of-44 passes for 229 yards and one interception. Saquon Barkley (just 31 rushing yards on 14 attempts) led the ground attack in the loss while Evan Engram (eight receptions, 75 yards) and Barkley (four catches, 25 yards) manned the receiving duties.

Indianapolis is coming off of a 23-0 win over Dallas a week ago. The team’s defensive unit allowed the Cowboys to rush for 112 yards on 22 attempts. Ezekiel Elliott had a productive showing in the loss for Dallas, recording 87 rushing yards on 18 attempts, along with 41 yards on seven catches. For Indianapolis, Andrew Luck completed 16-of-27 passes for 192 yards. Marlon Mack (139 yards on 27 rush attempts, two TDs) spearheaded the ground attack in the win while T.Y. Hilton (five receptions, 85 yards) and Nyheim Hines (four catches, 45 yards) led the pass-catching attack.

In terms of offensive play-calling, each of these teams sports a similar run-pass ratio on the season. New York has run the ball on 37.1 percent of its offensive possessions while Indianapolis has an overall rush percentage of 38.8. The Giants have produced 102 rush yards/game and have nine touchdowns via handoffs this year. The Colts are putting up 108 rush yards per game and have 10 total rushing TDs.

If 2018 numbers can translate to this game, then it’s looking like the Colts could own an advantage when it comes to applying pressure. Their offensive line has yielded just 16 sacks while the D-line has logged 38 sacks. The Giants O-line has given up 46 sacks and their defense has got to opposing signal-callerss just 25 times.

The G-Men offensive scheme has averaged 271 yards through the air overall and has 20 passing TDs so far. The Colts have recorded 282 pass yards per outing and have 34 total pass scores.

Defensively, New York has let opponents run for an average of 128 yards and throw for 249 yards per game. The Indianapolis defense has given up 254.2 yards per game to opposing passers and 103.6 yards per game to opposing runners. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the G-Men have given up an ANY/A of 6.09 to opposing QBs, while the Colts are allowing an ANY/A of 6.12.

Offensively, Manning has put up 3,492 passing yards on the year, and has completed 66 percent of his 480 attempts with 15 scores through the air and nine interceptions. Manning’s got a 5.83 adjusted net yards per pass attempt, including 5.68 over the last two outings.

Andrew Luck has completed 348-of-516 passes for 3,552 yards, 32 TDs and 12 INTs for Indianapolis. His ANY/A sits at 6.68 for the season and 8.19 over his last two outings.

RELATED: Week 16 NFL Betting Odds and Predictions 

Free Betting Pick: New York Giants vs. Indianapolis Colts

SU Winner – Colts, ATS Winner – Giants, O/U – Under

 

Notes

Team Betting Notes

As a team, New York has rushed for 5.3 yards per attempt over its last three outings and 5.5 over its last two.

Indianapolis has averaged 3.4 yards per carry over its last three contests and 3.7 over its last two.

Indianapolis has lost eight fumbles this season while New York has lost six.

Indianapolis has won eight of its last nine games SU, with a -6-point loss to Jacksonville on December 2nd accounting for the lone defeat over that stretch.

The Giants offense has created 10 pass plays of 40 or more yards, while the Colts have put up five such plays.

The New York defense has allowed six pass plays of 40 yards or more, while Indianapolis has given up three such plays.

The New York offense has created 15 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Indianapolis has created eight such runs.

Both defenses have allowed 10 rushing plays of 20+ yards. The Giants have given up 48 running plays of 10+ yards while the Colts have given up 42 such plays.

The Indianapolis defense has sacked opposing quarterbacks 38 times this season. New York has registered just 25 sacks.

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Written by GMS Previews

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