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New York Jets – Miami Dolphins

The Miami Dolphins and New York Jets play in a Week 17 finale at Sun Life Stadium. Players will take the field Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET and the game will air on CBS.

The last time the Dolphins and Jets faced each other was in Week 13, a 16-13 loss for New York. Johnson had a big performance running the ball for New York, rushing for 105 yards on 17 attempts.

The Dolphins, a four-point favorite, will be looking to hold down their home field when New York comes to town. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 42 points. Sitting at 8-7 Straight Up (SU) and 7-8 Against The Spread (ATS), the Dolphins will look to improve as they head into Week 17. Over their last five games, the Dolphins have records of 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. A big source of success this season is the passing game, where the Dolphins complete 66.7% of their passes. Crossing over to the defensive side of the ball, the Dolphins look to have a distinct advantage in certain spots. Expect the Jets to have a difficult time throwing the ball against the fourth-best pass defense in the NFL. The Dolphins give up only 211.1 yards per game through the air. A pivotal part of the game will be if the Dolphins can attack New York’s offensive line, which currently is 26th in the league in sacks allowed with 3.1 per game. Keep an eye on Miami to turn it up a notch during the third quarter, when they average a league-best 8.7 points per game. Special teams is a weakness for New York that the Dolphins may use to their advantage. On average, the Jets have allowed 101.2 return yards per game.

As for their opponent, the Jets head into Week 17 with records of 5-9-1 ATS and 3-12 SU. Over their last five games, the Jets have a SU record of 1-4 and a 3-2 record ATS for those betting with them. New York has found a lot of success on the ground. Its 145 rushing yards per game ranks second in the NFL. Over the last five games, the Jets turned it up on the defensive side of the football, only allowing an average of 95.6 rushing yards per game. Special teams is usually an area of weakness for the Dolphins, giving up 110.1 return yards per game.

Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, ATS Winner – MIA, O/U – Under

Notes

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 10 games.

Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.

Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing NY Jets.

Miami is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets.

Miami is 7-14-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing NY Jets.

Miami is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets.

Miami is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Jets.

New York is 2-2 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Miami is 6-2 SU when carrying a lead into the fourth quarter.

Since the beginning of last season, New York is only 3-8 SU against AFC East opponents, while Miami is 5-6 SU against divisional foes.

New York is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its second-ranked rushing attack will face the 23rd-ranked run defense of Miami, while its fifth-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 14th-ranked run game of the Dolphins.

Written by GMS Previews

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