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New York Jets – Miami Dolphins

In this Week 17 regular season finale, the Miami Dolphins and New York Jets do battle at Sun Life Stadium. Players will take the field Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET and the game will air on CBS.

The last meeting between the Dolphins and Jets came in Week 13 when New York suffered a narrow defeat against Miami 16-13. Johnson had a great performance running the ball for New York, rushing for 105 yards on 17 carries.

The Dolphins, a four-point favorite, will be looking to hold down their home field when New York comes to town. The Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is set at 42 points. Heading into Week 17 of league action, the Dolphins are 8-7 Straight Up (SU) and 7-8 Against The Spread (ATS). Over their last five games, the Dolphins have records of 2-3 SU and 1-4 ATS. A big source of success this season is the passing game, where the Dolphins complete 66.7% of their passes. As for the Miami defense, a few key matchups could decide this game. Expect the Dolphins defense to really restrict New York’s aerial assault. The Dolphins have the fourth-ranked pass defense in the NFL and give up only 211.1 passing yards per game. The Dolphins will need to attack the quarterback against the Jets, who rank 26th in sacks allowed with 3.1 per game. Keep an eye on Miami to turn it up a notch during the third quarter, when they average a league-best 8.7 points per game. On the special teams side, New York may give up some big plays to the Dolphins in the return game. The Jets have allowed 101.2 return yards per game, making them one of the worst in the NFL.

Over on the other sideline, the Jets head into Week 17 with records of 5-9-1 ATS and 3-12 SU. The Jets went 1-4 SU and 3-2 ATS over the last five games. New York has found a lot of success on the ground. Its 145 rushing yards per game ranks second in the NFL. Over the last five games, the Jets turned it up on the defensive side of the football, only allowing an average of 95.6 rushing yards per game. For the Dolphins, special teams is an area in need of improvement. Their 110.1 return yards allowed per game rank amongst the worst in the league.

Predictions: SU Winner – MIA, ATS Winner – MIA, O/U – Under

Notes

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 10 games.

Miami is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.

The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 12 games at home.

Miami is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home.

The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 8 games when playing NY Jets.

Miami is 4-2 SU in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets.

Miami is 7-14-1 ATS in their last 22 games when playing NY Jets.

Miami is 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games when playing at home against NY Jets.

Miami is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing at home against NY Jets.

New York is 2-2 SU when leading at the start of the fourth quarter this season. Miami is 6-2 SU when leading at the end of the third quarter.

Dating back to last season, New York is only 3-8 SU against AFC East opponents, while Miami is 5-6 SU against divisional foes.

New York is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its second-ranked rushing attack will face the 23rd-ranked run defense of Miami, while its fifth-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 14th-ranked run game of the Dolphins.

Written by GMS Previews

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