The New York Jets (4-1) travel to meet the New England Patriots (5-0) this week in a clash between two of the better teams in the league to start the year. This game will feature the NFL’s fifth-leading passer, Tom Brady (1,699 yards, 14 TDs), and third-leading rusher, Chris Ivory (460 yards, 4 TDs). It will begin Sunday, Oct 25 at 1:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on CBS.
This will be the first meeting of the season for the division rivals. New England won both games during the regular season last year. Jamie Collins led the Patriots defense in the last game against the Jets, totaling six tackles and one interception. Marcus Williams led the way for the New York defense, registering five tackles and one interception.
New England is a considerable nine-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is 49 points.
The Patriots enter the game with records of 5-0 Straight Up (SU) and 3-1-1 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. One of the keys to the game will be if the Patriots can take advantage of New York’s knack for throwing picks. They rank 27th in the league in interceptions thrown with 1.4 per game. The Patriots score at a high rate in the second quarter. New England averages 11.4 points during that period, one of the highest marks in the league. Mistakes and a lack of focus may be factors that benefit the Patriots in the game. The Jets are one of the league’s most penalized teams on the road with 11 flags per game.
As for their opponent, the Jets have 4-1 SU and ATS records this season. New York has found a lot of success on the ground. Its 146 rushing yards per game tops the NFL. Switching gears to the New York defense, there are certain areas where it measures up well against the Patriots. The New York defense has allowed 82.6 rush yards per game this season, second in the league. The Patriots will need to take care of the ball against New York’s defense, which has recovered the most fumbles on the season with 1.4 per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYJ, ATS Winner – NYJ, O/U – Over
Notes
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
New England is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New England’s last 17 games at home.
New England is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home.
New England is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England’s last 11 games when playing NY Jets.
New England is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets.
New England is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets.
New York is 3-0 SU this season, when leading at the half. New England is 4-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Dating back to last season, New England is 5-1 SU against AFC East opponents, while New York is just 2-5 SU against division foes.
New York is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its first-ranked rushing attack will face the 22nd-ranked run defense of New England, while its second-ranked run defense will look to contain the 21st-ranked rushing game of the Patriots.
