This week’s game between the New York Jets (4-1) and the New England Patriots (5-0) has the makings of a pivotal matchup. The NFL’s fifth-leading passer, Tom Brady (1,699 yards, 14 TDs), and third-leading rusher, Chris Ivory (460 yards, 4 TDs), will be on display in this matchup. It will begin Sunday, Oct 25 at 1:00 p.m. ET and can be seen on CBS.
Division rivals New England and New York have their first meeting of the season this week. The Patriots won both of last year’s regular season games. Jamie Collins led the way for the Patriots defense in the last game, registering six tackles and one interception. Marcus Williams led the New York defense, totaling five tackles and one interception.
The Patriots are a considerable nine-point favorite and the Over/Under (O/U) for the matchup is 49 points.
The Patriots enter the game with records of 5-0 Straight Up (SU) and 3-1-1 Against The Spread (ATS) this season. One of the keys to the game will be if the Patriots can take advantage of New York’s knack for throwing picks. They rank 27th in the league in interceptions thrown with 1.4 per game. Keep an eye on New England to pick up the pace during the second quarter, when it averages 11.4 points per game. Mistakes and a lack of focus may be factors that benefit the Patriots in the game. The Jets are one of the league’s most penalized teams on the road with 11 flags per game.
Moving to the road team, the Jets have 4-1 SU and ATS records this season. New York has found a lot of success on the ground. Its 146 rushing yards per game tops the NFL. Switching gears to the New York defense, it has some favorable matchups that it may be able to take advantage of as well. New York’s second-ranked run defense has given its competition issues. Opponents have run for 82.6 yards per game against this scary unit. The Patriots will need to take care of the ball against New York’s defense, which has recovered the most fumbles on the season with 1.4 per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYJ, ATS Winner – NYJ, O/U – Over
Notes
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
New England is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 games.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New England’s last 6 games.
The total has gone OVER in 12 of New England’s last 17 games at home.
New England is 20-1 SU in its last 21 games at home.
New England is 14-5-1 ATS in its last 20 games at home.
The total has gone OVER in 9 of New England’s last 11 games when playing NY Jets.
New England is 7-1 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets.
New England is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing NY Jets.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of New England’s last 6 games when playing at home against NY Jets.
New York is 3-0 SU this season, when leading at the half. New England is 4-0 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Dating back to last year, New England is 5-1 SU against AFC East opponents, while New York is just 2-5 SU against division foes.
New York is rated higher in the ground game on both sides of the ball. Its first-ranked rushing attack will face the 22nd-ranked run defense of New England, while its second-ranked rush defense will look to contain the 21st-ranked run game of the Patriots.
