Look for an aerial attack from Ryan Fitzpatrick in this game as the New York Jets (4-2) face an Oakland Raiders (3-3) team that can defend the running game better than the passing game. The game starts at 4:05 p.m. ET on Sunday, Nov 1 and can be seen on CBS.
Oakland picked up a win over the Chargers 37-29 last week. Malcolm Smith led the way for the Oakland defense in the win, totaling 11 tackles, one sack, and one interception. Amari Cooper had a big game as well, totaling 133 yards and a TD on five receptions. New York didn’t have the same success as Oakland, getting beat by the Patriots 30-23. Marcus Gilchrist led the New York defense, totaling eight tackles. Ryan Fitzpatrick also had a big day, contributing 295 yards and two TDs through the air.
New York is a slight one-point favorite in this game and the Over/Under (O/U) is set at 44 points.
The Raiders enter the game with a current record of 3-3 Straight Up (SU) and Against The Spread (ATS) this season. Over their last five games, the Raiders have records of 3-2 for both SU and ATS. The Raiders are known to pass in their own stadium. Their 42.7 passing attempts per home game are the fourth-most in the NFL. Turning to the Raiders defense, a few key spots could be deciding factors this week. The Jets will be matching up against a skilled Oakland run defense, which allowed 75.8 rushing yards over its last five matchups. The Raiders score at a high rate in the second quarter. Oakland averages 10.8 points during that period, one of the highest marks in the league.
As for their opponent, the Jets have 4-2 SU and 4-1-1 ATS records this season. In the previous five games, New York has a record of 3-2 SU and 3-1-1 ATS. The Raiders have been mediocre at stopping their opponents’ passing game. The Jets will look to overpower a pass defense that gives up an NFL-worst 303.8 passing yards per game. The Jets give up 17 points per road game and have a top-five ranked defense. New York’s defense gives up 71.5 yards per game on the ground, making them the No. 1 run defense in the NFL. The Raiders need to secure the ball against the fumble-seeking Jets. They’re third in the league in fumbles recovered with 1.2 per game. Don’t be surprised to see lots of calls against the Raiders when they take the field. Oakland is among the most penalized teams in the league, receiving an average of 9.7 penalties per game.
Predictions: SU Winner – NYJ, ATS Winner – NYJ, O/U – Over
Notes
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland’s last 9 games.
Oakland is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Oakland’s last 11 games at home.
Oakland is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games at home.
Oakland is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home.
Oakland is 5-10 ATS in its last 15 games at home.
Oakland is 2-6 SU in their last 8 games when playing NY Jets.
Oakland is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games when playing at home against NY Jets.
New York is 3-0 SU this season, when leading at the half. Oakland is 2-1 SU when taking a lead into halftime.
Remarkably, New York is only 1-2 SU in games where it wins the turnover battle, yet undefeated (3-0 SU) when losing the turnover battle.
According to overall NFL pass rankings, New York is rated higher on both sides of the ball. Its 16th-ranked offensive passing game will face the 32nd-ranked pass defense of Oakland, while its fourth-ranked pass defense will look to limit the 11th-ranked aerial attack of the Raiders.
Oakland has allowed 27.3 points per game at home this year, which ranks it only 24th in the league. New York has scored 23.3 points per game on the road (ranked 14th overall).
