The New York Jets (+9) are traveling south to face the Tennessee Titans at Nissan Stadium. CBS has the TV rights and this late afternoon game is scheduled to start at 4:05 p.m. ET.
New York Jets at Tennessee Titans Betting Preview
In this Sunday AFC matchup, Tennessee is getting picked as the big favorite and the team’s currently giving up 9 points. If they want to play the moneyline, bettors would currently need to put up $400 in order to win $100 back on the Titans (-400). The Jets are getting +300 moneyline odds. Vegas has set the over/under (O/U) at 40 points. It appears that there will probably be multiple good live betting opportunities for this game.
Sharp bettors have been siding with the Jets, as the line opened at -10. The over/under has not changed after it was set initially at 40.
The disappointing Jets are 3-8 against the spread (ATS) and are down 6.0 units so far. The team has posted an O/U record of 6-5. The Titans have gained 1.9 units this season. The team is 6-5 ATS and owns an O/U record of 4-7.
The Jets are 3-8 straight up (SU) in 2018 while the Titans are 5-6 SU.
The Jets look to get back in stride after a 27-13 loss to New England last week. Josh McCown completed 26 passes for 276 yards, along with one TD and an interception. Isaiah Crowell (30 yards on six rushes) led the ground attack in the loss while Chris Herndon (seven receptions, 57 yards) and Jermaine Kearse (six catches, 66 yards, one TD) manned the receiving duties.
Tennessee just lost a 34-17 game to Houston a week ago. The team’s defense let the Texans rush for 281 yards on 34 attempts, including two rush TDs. Lamar Miller was a force to be reckoned with, recording 162 rushing yards and a score on 12 attempts for Houston. For Tennessee, Marcus Mariota completed 22-of-23 passes for 303 yards and two touchdowns. Derrick Henry (30 yards on eight rush attempts) spearheaded the ground game in the defeat as Lewis (seven receptions, 33 yards) and Corey Davis (four catches, 96 yards, one TD) led the receiving attack.
New York has run the ball on 42.8 percent of its offensive possessions this year while Tennessee has an overall rush percentage of 50.7 percent. The Jets have run for 104 yards/game and have seven scores via handoffs this year. The Titans are logging 111 rush yards per game and have seven total rushing TDs.
The Jets offensive scheme has logged 213 yards per game through the air overall and has 12 passing scores so far. The Titans have produced 213 pass yards per contest and also have 12 total pass TDs.
New York has allowed opponents to run for an average of 128 yards and pass for 262 yards per game. The Tennessee defense has allowed 244.0 yards per game to opposing passers and 116.5 yards per game on the ground. Both teams allow similar adjusted net yards per pass attempt (ANY/A) to opponents, as the Jets have given up an ANY/A of 6.33 to opposing QBs, while the Titans are allowing an ANY/A of 6.70.
Offensively, McCown has put up 276 passing yards on the year, and has completed 58 percent of his 45 attempts with one scores through the air and one interception. McCown’s got a 5.09 adjusted net yards per pass attempt overall, although that number is 3.15 over the past two games.
We expect the New York offense to mix it up in this one. Isaiah Crowell (563 rushing yards, five rush TDs, 123 receiving yards this season), Chris Herndon (280 receiving yards, three receiving TDs) and Quincy Enunwa (400 receiving yards, one TD) have all played big roles recently.
For the home team, Marcus Mariota has connected on 158-of-226 passes for 1,801 yards, nine TDs and five INTs. Mariota’s ANY/A sits at 6.09 for the year and 6.98 across his past two games.
Look for Mariota to distribute the football early and often in this one. Corey Davis (672 receiving yards and three receiving TDs this season), Jonnu Smith (185 receiving yards, three receiving TDs), and Anthony Firkser (88 receiving yards) have collectively recorded 329 receiving yards and two scores over the last couple of games.
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Notes
Betting Trends
The O/U for New York’s previous game was set at 47. The under cashed in the team’s 27-13 defeat to New England.
As a team, New York has rushed for 4.4 yards per attempt across its last three outings and 4.8 over its last two.
Tennessee has averaged 4.1 yards per carry over its last three matchups and 4.0 over its past two.
The Tennessee offense has lost five fumbles this season while New York has lost six.
In its last three matchups, New York is 0-3 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
The Over/Under for Tennessee’s last game going into it was 42.5. The over cashed in that 34-17 loss to Houston.
In its last three contests, Tennessee is 1-2 ATS and the under cashed in two of those three.
Each team has produced four pass plays of 40 yards or more and seven pass plays of 30+ yards.
The New York defense has allowed five pass plays of 40+ yards, while Tennessee has given up six such plays.
The New York offense has created eight rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while Tennessee has created five such runs.
The Jets defense has allowed 18 rushing plays of 20 yards or more, while the Titans have given up five such runs.
The Tennessee defense has registered 27 sacks on the year while New York has 22.
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