The Brooklyn Nets (0-1) welcome the New York Knicks (1-0) to Barclays Center for their home opener. The game will air on YES Network at 7:30 p.m. ET on Friday, October 19, 2018.
Brooklyn opened as a 3-point favorite, while the Over/Under (O/U) for the game has been set at 218.5 points.
New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets Betting Prediction
The Knicks will be hoping for a similar result after comfortably covering the 4-point spread against the Atlanta Hawks in their last matchup, 126-107. The combined points for the game (233) were well over the projected point total of 216.5. The Knicks had a much better turnover percentage (11.8 vs. 19.7) and had a better free throw rate (0.242 vs. 0.167). With 31 points on 10-for-22 shooting, Tim Hardaway Jr. was the top scorer from either team.
In the Nets’ last matchup, they lost a tough one against the Detroit Pistons, 103-100, but did cover as 6-point underdogs. The game’s total points (203) finished under the O/U total of 213. Detroit won the rebounding battle. The Pistons had more offensive rebounds (14 vs. five) and total rebounds (46 vs. 39). Brooklyn’s Caris LeVert had a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 27 points on 10-for-18 shooting.
The offensive glass could be a major advantage for New York in this meeting. The Knicks rank fifth in offensive rebounding percentage (24.1 percent), while Brooklyn ranks 20th in defensive rebounding percentage (76.9 percent) since last season.
Since last season, the Knicks are 30-53 straight up (SU) and 43-40 against the spread (ATS). New York games have had a slight tendency to go under the projected point total since last season (51.8 percent).
The Nets, on the other hand, have records of 28-55 SU and 41-40-2 ATS since last season. Vegas has been fairly accurate when predicting totals of Brooklyn games over that same time frame with 41 overs compared to 41 unders.
The Knicks won all four contests against the Nets last season. In the most recent game, New York won 111-95. The Knicks had a much better turnover percentage (9.9 vs. 15.3) and had a better free throw rate (0.225 vs. 0.161).
New York Knicks at Brooklyn Nets Betting Pick
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Notes
Betting Notes (2017-Present):
Brooklyn is 13-1 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while New York is 15-4.
When reaching 100 points, the Nets are 24-36 and the Knicks are 29-30.
Brooklyn ranks second in three pointers attempted per game (35.6) while New York ranks 29th (23.5).
The Knicks average 13.4 second chance points per game, which ranks seventh in the NBA. The Nets rank 29th in second chance points allowed per game (13.5).
New York ranks seventh in points allowed in the paint per game (43.6) while Brooklyn ranks 27th (47.5).
The Knicks average 5.1 blocks per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. The Nets rank 26th in blocks allowed per game (5.5).
New York ranks 11th in rebounds per game (44.1) while Brooklyn ranks 29th in rebounds allowed per game (46.7).
The Nets rank fifth in assists allowed per game (21.7) while the Knicks rank 22nd (23.9).
Brooklyn ranks 19th in fast break points per game (10.7) while New York ranks 29th (8.6).
The Knicks rank 24th in points off turnovers per game (15.3) while the Nets rank last (14.2).
New York ranks 28th in steals per game (6.8) while Brooklyn ranks 29th (6.3).
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