The Oklahoma City Thunder (8-5) look to extend their five-game home winning streak in a matchup against the New York Knicks (4-10) at Chesapeake Energy Arena. The game can be seen on MSG Network at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 14, 2018.
New York Knicks at Oklahoma City Thunder Free Prediction
The Knicks failed to cover as 3.5-point favorites in their 115-89 loss to the Orlando Magic in their last outing. The game’s total points (204) were under the projected point total of 210. Orlando’s turnover percentage was their biggest strength over New York. The Magic had a rate of 9.7 (better than their season average of 11.8), while the Knicks posted a mark of 15.8 (above their season average of 12.2). New York’s Enes Kanter had a solid performance, recording 16 points and 15 rebounds.
In the Thunder’s last outing, they beat the Phoenix Suns, 118-101, comfortably covering as 8-point favorites. The combined points for the game (219) finished over the projected point total of 214.5. The Thunder forced 18 turnovers and had an offensive rebounding percentage of 30.8 (above their season average of 27.8). Paul George was the top scorer from either team with 32 points on 11-for-19 shooting from the field.
After splitting two games last season, this will be the first matchup of the year between these two teams. In the last contest, the Knicks won 111-96. New York made good use of their 26 trips to the charity stripe, converting on 21 of them (80.8 percent). Oklahoma City, on the other hand, was just 12-20 (60.0 percent).
New York heads into the game with records of 4-10 straight up (SU) and 7-6-1 against the spread (ATS). Games featuring the Knicks tend to go under the projected point total (57.1 percent).
Meanwhile, Oklahoma City is 8-5 SU and 8-5 ATS. Just over half of Thunder games have also finished under the total.
Both teams have had a player take their game to the next level over their last five games. Kanter (17.2 points and 13.4 rebounds) has been great for the Knicks while Dennis Schroder (19.8 points, 5.6 rebounds and 1.4 steals) has contributed greatly to the Thunder.
The offensive glass could be a huge advantage for Oklahoma City in this showdown. The Thunder rank first in offensive rebounding percentage (28.0 percent), while New York ranks 22nd in defensive rebounding percentage (75.3 percent). Also, the Knicks’ 26th-ranked offense (offensive efficiency of 102.7) will face a difficult test against the Thunder’s second-ranked defense (defensive efficiency of 102.6).
New York Knicks at Oklahoma City Thunder Odds Pick
Free NBA Pick: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Under
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New York is 4-3 ATS on the road with 4 unders and 3 overs.
At home, Oklahoma City is 4-3 ATS with 5 overs and 2 unders.
Oklahoma City is 2-0 when they allow below 100 points, while New York is 1-0.
The Thunder are 6-2 when they score above 100 points, while the Knicks are 4-7.
Oklahoma City ranks fourth in blocks allowed per game (4.4) while New York ranks 24th (6.5).
The Thunder average 21.9 points off turnovers per game, which ranks first in the league. The Knicks rank 20th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.9).
Oklahoma City averages 17.5 second chance points per game, which ranks first in the NBA. New York ranks 19th in second chance points allowed per game (14.0).
The Thunder average 11.5 steals per game, which ranks first in the league. The Knicks rank 15th in steals allowed per game (7.5).
Oklahoma City ranks 12th in fast break points per game (14.6) while New York ranks 26th (9.7).
The Thunder rank seventh in points in the paint per game (50.3) while the Knicks rank 20th in points allowed in the paint per game (50.3).
Oklahoma City averages 46.8 rebounds per game, which ranks eighth in the NBA. New York ranks 18th in rebounds allowed per game (45.9).
The Thunder are 25th in the NBA with 20.8 assists per game while the Knicks are last with 19.1 assists per game.
Oklahoma City averages 30.7 three pointers per game, which ranks 16th in the league. New York ranks 17th in three pointers allowed per game (32.2).
Bettings Trends:
Over its last five outings, New York is 1-4 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs.
Oklahoma City is 4-1 ATS with 3 unders and 2 overs over its last five games.
The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 10.2, up from 5.2 for the season.
During their last five games, the Thunder have scored an average of 105.8 points per game (3.9 below their season average) and allowed an average of 98.8 points per game (7.4 below their season average).
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