It will be a battle between Atlantic Division opponents when the Philadelphia 76ers (14-8) welcome the New York Knicks (7-15) to the Wells Fargo Center. The game can be seen on NBATV at 7 p.m. ET on Wednesday, November 28, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) has been set at 227.5 points with Philadelphia opening as a 12.5-point favorite.
New York Knicks at Philadelphia 76ers Free Prediction
Although the Knicks were beaten by the Detroit Pistons in their last matchup, 115-108, they did cover as 8-point underdogs. The total points for the game (223) were well over the projected point total of 204.5. Getting to the charity stripe was one of Detroit’s biggest strengths. They had 45 free throw attempts, while New York had 32. Allonzo Trier was New York’s leading scorer with 24 points on 7-for-11 shooting.
In the 76ers’ previous game, they won a close one over the Brooklyn Nets, 127-125, but failed to cover as 4.5-point favorites. The total points for the game (252) finished well over the O/U total of 225.5. The 76ers had an extraordinarily low turnover percentage of 7.9 (better than their season average of 13.8), while the Nets had a free throw rate of 0.170 (below the 0.205 mark opponents have averaged against Philadelphia this season). Jimmy Butler was Philadelphia’s high scorer with 34 points on 11-for-20 shooting from the field.
After the 76ers won all four matchups against the Knicks last season, these teams will clash for the first time this year. In the most recent contest, Philadelphia won 118-101. The 76ers had a much better offensive rebounding percentage (28.0 vs. 18.5) and had a better turnover percentage (9.8 vs. 13.2).
New York is 12-8-1 against the spread (ATS), despite being 7-15 straight up (SU). Games featuring the Knicks have finished over the projected point total 52.4 percent of the time.
Philadelphia has a solid 14-8 SU record, but they are just 8-14 ATS. Vegas tends to set the total low when the 76ers are involved, as 68.2 percent of their games have ended over the projected point total.
The aggressive Philadelphia offense looks poised to dominate from the foul line. The 76ers currently rank second in the league with a free throw attempt (FTA) rate of 0.263, while New York is among the NBA’s most foul-prone squads (giving up a 21st-ranked FTA rate of 0.217).
New York Knicks vs. Philadelphia 76ers ATS Pick
Prediction: SU Winner – 76ers, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over
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Notes
Betting Notes:
New York is 7-5 ATS on the road with 7 overs and 5 unders.
Philadelphia is 5-6 ATS at home with 8 overs and 3 unders.
New York is 2-0 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while Philadelphia is 3-0.
In games where they reach 100 points, the 76ers are 14-6 and the Knicks are 7-12.
Philadelphia ranks sixth in assists per game (26.3) while New York ranks 28th (18.8).
The 76ers rank 10th in blocks per game (5.5) while the Knicks rank last in blocks allowed per game (7.0).
Philadelphia averages 47.6 rebounds per game, which ranks fifth in the league. New York ranks 20th in rebounds allowed per game (46.2).
The Knicks rank third in second chance points per game (15.7) while the 76ers rank 17th in second chance points allowed per game (13.6).
New York ranks 16th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.4) while Philadelphia ranks 26th (18.8).
The Knicks rank 18 in steals per game (7.318181818181818) while the 76ers rank 25 (6.681818181818182).
Philadelphia averages 45.81818181818182 points in the paint per game, which ranks 18 in the NBA. New York ranks 25 in points allowed in the paint per game (51.54545454545455).
The 76ers rank 14 in three pointers attempted per game (31.772727272727273) while the Knicks rank 18 in three pointers allowed per game (31.818181818181817).
New York ranks 5 in fast break points allowed per game (11.5) while Philadelphia ranks 8 (12.727272727272727).
Bettings Trends:
In its last five games, New York is 4-1 ATS with 3 overs and 2 unders.
Philadelphia is 1-4 ATS with 5 overs over its last five games.
The Knicks have outscored opponents by an average of 1.4 points in their last five games. For the season, New York has been defeated by an average of 5.0 points.
During their last five games, the 76ers have scored an average of 120.2 points per game (6.1 above their season average) and allowed an average of 119.8 points per game (5.7 above their season average).
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