The Portland Trail Blazers (38-26) will try to continue their seven-game winning streak against the New York Knicks (24-40) at Moda Center at the Rose Quarter. The game is scheduled to begin at 10 p.m. ET on Tuesday, March 6, 2018.
The game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 215 points with Portland set as a 10-point favorite.
New York Knicks at Portland Trail Blazers Free Prediction
In the Knicks’ last outing, they were topped by the Sacramento Kings, 102-99. Sacramento’s 10.8 turnover percentage was their largest strength over New York, who had a rate of 11.9. The Kings’ mark was better than their season average of 12.7. Enes Kanter had a good outing for New York, putting up 14 points and 16 rebounds.
The Trail Blazers beat the Los Angeles Lakers in their last outing, 108-103. The Trail Blazers knocked down 28 of their 38 free throws (73.7 percent) and held the Lakers to an offensive rebounding percentage of 14.0 (below their season average of 24.2). Damian Lillard was the game’s high scorer with 39 points on 12-for-25 shooting.
Looking at effective field goal percentage, Portland figures to have a considerable edge. The Trail Blazers defense ranks fifth in effective field goal percentage allowed (0.502), while the New York offense is ranked 23rd in effective field goal percentage (0.509).
New York holds records of 24-40 straight up (SU) and 29-35 against the spread (ATS). Vegas has typically been fairly accurate when setting the total of Knicks games, with 33 overs compared to 30 unders.
Meanwhile, Portland is 38-26 SU and 32-25-6 ATS. Of the Trail Blazers’ 63 games that accepted bets, 36 have finished under the O/U total.
Lillard has averaged 29.0 points, 6.2 assists and 1.2 steals over the last five games for Portland.
This will be the second game of the season between these two teams. Lillard scored a game-high 32 points in the first game, in which the Trail Blazers beat the Knicks 103-91, covering as 1.5-point favorites. He also put up five assists. The game finished with a total of 194 points, which was 9.5 points below the projected point total of 203.5 points. The Trail Blazers made 22 of their 26 free throws (84.6 percent) and had a better turnover percentage (8.7 vs. 11.7).
New York Knicks vs. Portland Trail Blazers Free Pick
Free Pick: SU Winner – Trail Blazers, ATS Winner – Trail Blazers, O/U – Under
Notes
Betting Notes:
On the road, New York is 13-21 ATS with 18 overs, 15 unders and 1 push.
At home, Portland is 15-13-3 ATS with 17 unders and 14 overs.
Portland is 20-5 when they hold opponents below 100 points, while New York is 11-3.
In games where they score over 100 points, the Trail Blazers are 33-13 and the Knicks are 23-21.
Portland ranks fifth in three pointers allowed per game (26.6) while New York ranks 24th (30.5).
The Knicks rank seventh in points in the paint per game (46.6) while the Trail Blazers rank 25th (42.2).
New York ranks sixth in blocks per game (5.4) while Portland ranks 23rd in blocks allowed per game (5.2).
The Knicks rank 13th in assists per game (22.9) while the Trail Blazers rank last (19.1).
Portland ranks 11th in steals allowed per game (7.5) while New York ranks 25th (8.4).
The Knicks average 13.7 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the league. The Trail Blazers rank 12th in second chance points allowed per game (12.0).
New York ranks 10th in rebounds per game (44.1) while Portland ranks 16th in rebounds allowed per game (43.0).
The Knicks rank 23rd in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while the Trail Blazers rank 28th (14.6).
Portland ranks 28th in fast break points per game (7.8) while New York ranks 29th (7.7).
Bettings Trends:
In their last five games, New York is 1-4 ATS with 4 overs and 1 under.
Portland is 4-1 ATS with 4 unders and 1 over over their last five games.
The Knicks’ average margin of defeat in their last five games has been 8.4, up from 2.9 for the season.
During their last five games, the Trail Blazers have scored an average of 109.2 points per game (4.0 above their season average) and allowed an average of 101.0 points per game (2.4 below their season average).
