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New York Knicks vs. Washington Wizards Free Preview 11/04/18

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Wizards (1-7) will try to put an end to their five-game losing streak when they square off with the New York Knicks (3-6) at Capital One Arena. The game can be seen on MSG Network at 6 p.m. ET on Sunday, November 4, 2018.

Washington is a 9-point favorite on the opening line, while the game’s Over/Under (O/U) opened at 226.5 points.

New York Knicks vs. Washington Wizards Betting Prediction

In the Knicks’ last matchup, they defeated the Dallas Mavericks, 118-106, as 5.5-point underdogs. The combined points for the game (224) finished over the projected point total of 216. The Knicks forced 18 turnovers and had a free throw rate of 0.226 (above their season average of 0.173). New York received a boost from Mitchell Robinson, who recorded 13 points and 10 rebounds.

The Wizards got blown out by the Oklahoma City Thunder in their last game, 134-111, despite being 3.5-point favorites. The combined points for the game (245) came in over the O/U total of 233. Oklahoma City made good use of their 26 trips to the charity stripe, making 21 of them (80.8 percent). Washington, meanwhile, was 14-18 (77.8 percent). Washington’s Bradley Beal had a good performance, leading both teams in scoring with 27 points on 10-for-16 shooting.

It could be a sloppy game for the Washington offense. Dating back to last season, Washington ranks 21st in the NBA in ball protection (turnover percentage of 14.0 percent), while the ball-hawking defense of New York has forced the most turnovers in the NBA (13.3 percent).

New York has an outstanding record against the spread (6-2-1), despite being 3-6 straight up (SU). Matchups featuring the Knicks have a tendency to finish under the total (55.6 percent).

Meanwhile, Washington owns records of 1-7 SU and 1-7 ATS. Unlike New York, games featuring the Wizards have a tendency to go over the projected point total (75.0 percent).

The Wizards won two of the three matchups against the Knicks last season. In the most recent game, New York won 101-97. New York had a better effective field goal percentage (0.500 vs. 0.460). Washington, meanwhile, did a great job of converting from the free throw line (17-23; 73.9 percent).

Knicks vs. Wizards ATS Pick

Free Pick: SU Winner – Knicks, ATS Winner – Knicks, O/U – Over

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Notes

Betting Notes (2017-Present):

Both teams are strong when keeping the opposition to less than 100 points, as Washington is 20-4 and New York is 16-4.

The Knicks are 31-35 when they reach the century mark, while the Wizards are 43-28.

Washington ranks seventh in assists per game (24.8) while New York ranks 28th (23.0).

The Knicks average 13.5 second chance points per game, which ranks fifth in the NBA. The Wizards rank 23rd in second chance points allowed per game (13.3).

New York ranks fourth in steals allowed per game (8.0) while Washington ranks 20th (7.8).

The Knicks rank sixth in points off turnovers per game (15.5) while the Wizards rank 19th in points off turnovers allowed per game (17.2).

Washington ranks 17th in fast break points per game (12.6) while New York ranks last (8.6).

The Wizards rank 16th in points allowed in the paint per game (46.0) while the Knicks rank 26th (44.0).

Washington ranks 22nd in blocks per game (4.6) while New York ranks 28th (4.9).

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Written by GMS Previews

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