In the last of a three-game series between the Arizona Diamondbacks (49-69) and the New York Mets (59-59) at Chase Field, Zack Godley (3-2, 5.24 ERA) and Jonathon Niese (8-6, 5.20 ERA) get the start. The Mets won the last game 7-5, and the series is currently tied 1-1. The game gets underway at 9:40 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Aug. 17 and will air on FSAZ and SNY.
In his most recent outing, Godley pitched 5.1 innings, allowing one run and striking out four in a 9-4 loss to the Red Sox. Paul Goldschmidt (.299, 72 Rs, 18 HRs, 74 RBIs, 17 SBs) continued his strong season yesterday, going 3 for 4 with three runs. The Mets were also unsuccessful the last time Niese pitched. He did not do well, pitching 1.0 inning, giving up six runs, striking out two and walking three in a 9-0 loss to the Diamondbacks. Yoenis Cespedes (.289, 49 Rs, 22 HRs, 59 RBIs, 2 SBs) went 1 for 5 yesterday.
Arizona is favored by a slight -115 margin in its matchup against New York. The teams combine to set the Over/Under (O/U) at nine runs. When playing as the favorite, the Diamondbacks have a 23-24 record and overall money line at -1,813. They are 3-1 as the favorite over their last 10 games. The Diamondbacks are a dangerous hitting team with 395 extra base hits, one of the highest totals in the MLB. The Diamondbacks are a nightmare on the bases for opponents with 93 steals, one of the highest totals in baseball.
Switching gears, the Mets come into this game with a win percentage of .417 when playing as the underdog (15-21) and an overall money line of -1,558. Over the past 10 matchups, the team is 3-7 SU and has a poor 0-3 record when it was an underdog to win. The last 10 games have really brought the worst out of the New York pitchers. They allowed 4.9 runs per game during that span, which is higher than their season average of 3.7. They also allow just 2.6 walks per game, the best in the NL. The New York pitching staff has been an intimidating group this year, averaging 8.6 strikeouts per game.
In their previous five games this season, the Diamondbacks have a 4-1 record. This game will feature Niese (LHP) on the mound against the Diamondbacks, who have a 15-16 record when they take on a left-handed starter. The right-handed Godley will take the mound against the Mets, who have a 45-42 record against righty starters this season.
Predictions: SU Winner – ARI, O/U – Over
Notes
When leading after seven innings, New York is 20-22, while Arizona is 23-35.
The Mets didn’t score any runs in their last game. The Diamondbacks have a 6-0 record when they don’t allow any runs.
When they outhit their opponents, the Diamondbacks are 36-13. The Mets have a 38-11 record when outhitting opponents.
Ranking 29th, New York sits near the bottom of the league in runs, scoring 438 this season. Arizona ranks in the bottom half at 17th with 528.
Ranking 26th, Arizona is near the bottom of the league in walks, notching 324 this season. New York ranks in the top half with 360.
The Diamondbacks are 41-38 in games where they hit one or more home runs. The Mets are 50-31 when they hit at least one homer.
