The New York Mets will play the Chicago Cubs at Wrigley Field. This NL matchup will begin at 2:20 p.m. ET and fans looking to watch it can tune in to NBC Sports Chicago.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Odds
The Cubs are 77-53 straight up (SU) and 66-64 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle much for gamblers, gaining 4.2 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 1.6 units (ATS). Chicago has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 58-73 SU this year and are 61-69 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.7 units for moneyline bettors and 13.9 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in four of those seven.
Cubs games have an over/under record of 57-70-3 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 58-66-6.
Jason Vargas will get the nod for the visiting Mets. The left-handed Vargas is 4-8 with a 6.96 ERA and 55 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Cubs this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Cubs will send righty Alec Mills (0-0, 1.17 ERA) to the mound. Mills has 10 strikeouts and one walks to his name, as well as a WHIP of 0.65. Mills did not accrue any MLB pitching stats last season.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.88 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.01 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.92, along with a K/9 of 8.24.
Mets hitters have slashed .235/.314/.388 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game this season, including 3.4 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s hitters have been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera. The speedy Rosario is slashing .244/.285/.367 with seven home runs, 42 RBIs, 59 runs and 16 stolen bases, while Cabrera (.277/.329/.488) has produced 18 homers, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored.
In the home-team dugout, Chicago’s pitching staff has given up 4.0 runs per game overall this year. Its starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 7.5 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.22 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 8.7 K/9.
Chicago’s hitters are putting up 4.9 runs per contest, including 4.8 per game over its last 10 games and 7.2 per game over their last five. The team has a slash-line of .326/.381/.579 over its last five matchups and is 5-0 SU during that stretch.
The Cubs’ hitters have been led by second baseman Javier Baez and first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Baez is slashing .297/.329/.575 with 28 home runs, 97 RBIs, 80 runs and 21 steals, while Rizzo’s line is .276/.371/.479 with 22 homers, 86 RBIs and 58 runs.
The Mets have lost 9.4 units and are 46-50 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has hit in 44 of those games, compared to 47 that’ve gone under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Cubs have netted 6.0 units and are 16-12 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over has hit in 13 of those games, compared to 15 that went under.
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs Free MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Cubs, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The under has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
New York has recorded 19.2 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 15.0 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 11 home runs in their last 10 games, including six over their last five.
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