The New York Mets will play the Cincinnati Reds at Great American Ball Park. The game gets underway 12:35 p.m. ET and SportsNet New York will televise this NL matchup.
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Odds
New York (-115) is hosting this one as the favorite over Cincinnati (+105) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9.5 runs (-110 for the over and -110 for the under). The game’s current runline odds sit at +130 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -150 for the Reds +1.5 runs.
The Mets have gone 18-16 SU this year and are 15-18 against the spread (ATS). They’ve accumulated 0.7 units for gamblers taking the moneyline through the early part of the season, despite having lost 1.9 units ATS. New York hasn’t covered the spread in any of its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those. The Reds are 9-27 SU and 17-18 ATS. They’ve lost 18.3 units for moneyline bettors and 6.2 units ATS. Cincinnati has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone over in four of those.
Reds games have had an over/under record of 17-18 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 17-15-1.
Zack Wheeler will get the start for the Mets. Wheeler is 2-2 with a 5.79 ERA and 24 strikeouts.
The Reds are sending Sal Romano (2-3, 4.21 ERA) to the hill. Romano has 19 strikeouts and 16 walks to his credit, as well as a 1.38 WHIP.
As a unit, Cincinnati’s pitching staff has yielded 5.4 runs per game overall. The team’s starters have a 5.51 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 7.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 4.71 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 9.0 K/9.
The Cincinnati hitters are putting up 4.1 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game over its last 10 games and 4.4 per game over their last five. The team’s hit .245/.328/.460 over its last five contests and is 2-3 SU during that span.
The Reds’ hitters have been led by Eugenio Suarez and Joey Votto. Suarez is hitting .315/.407/.630 with five home runs, 25 RBIs and 14 runs scored, and Votto’s line is .276/.404/.433 with five homers, 19 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Suarez especially enjoyed hitting against righties at home in 2017. Across 229 such plate appearances, he slashed .279/.380/.604 (his overall season line was .260/.367/.461).
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.53 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 9.36 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.98, along with a K/9 of 9.00.
Mets hitters have slashed .233/.319/.377 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).
New York’s offensive production been led by Asdrubal Cabrera and Todd Frazier, who’ve collectively launched 11 home runs. Cabrera is slashing .326/.372/.553 with six home runs, 21 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Frazier is slashing .237/.357/.412 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
New York Mets at Cincinnati Reds Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Reds, ATS Winner – Reds, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
Cincinnati has posted 20.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 20.4 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 12 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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