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New York Mets at Miami Marlins Matchup 06/30/18

Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Marlins are set to host their NL East foe New York Mets at Marlins Park. The matchup will begin at 4:10 p.m. ET and fans can tune in to Pix11 to catch the game.

New York Mets at Miami Marlins Odds

The Marlins are 43-39 against the spread (ATS), but only 33-50 straight up (SU). The team has lost 1.3 units for moneyline bettors and 4.8 units (ATS). Miami has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in three of those seven. The Mets are 32-47 SU and have gone 32-45 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 16.4 units for moneyline bettors and 18.9 units ATS. New York has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the under has hit in three of those seven.

Marlins games have an over/under record of 42-39-1 so far in 2018. The Mets have been a decent under bet with a total record of 33-41-3.

Jacob deGrom will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom is 5-3 with a 1.69 ERA and 126 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with 14 strikeouts and a 2.77 ERA against Miami this year (two starts).

The Marlins are letting Pablo Lopez prove that he belongs in the majors. This game represents the first MLB start of the season for Lopez.

As a unit, Miami’s pitchers have allowed 5.0 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.75, a WHIP of 1.35 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.7. The bullpen has a 4.80 ERA, 1.45 WHIP and 8.3 K/9. In 23 games against NL East opponents, Marlins starters have an ERA of 3.98 and the bullpen’s ERA is 6.81.

The Miami offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .262/.326/.375 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.

The Marlins’ hitters have been led by third baseman Brian Anderson and second baseman Starlin Castro. Anderson is hitting .292/.369/.409 with four home runs, 38 RBIs and 45 runs scored, and Castro is batting .276 with five homers, 31 RBIs and 49 runs.

In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.7 runs per game and its starters own a 4.05 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 9.32 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.81, along with a WHIP of 1.28.

The Mets offense has slashed .232/.313/.383 on its way to 3.9 runs scored per game in 2018, including 3.7 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (1-4 SU).

Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario have led New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .283/.325/.477 with 13 home runs, 44 RBIs and 36 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .244/.281/.362 with four homers, 21 RBIs and 29 runs scored.

The Marlins have lost 3.7 units and are 27-32 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 30 of those games, compared to 28 that’ve gone under.

New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins Free Prediction

Predictions: SU Winner – Marlins, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER

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Notes

Betting Trends

New York has recorded 15 extra-base hits over its last five contests. Miami has nine XBH over its last five.

The Mets have hit eight home runs in their last 10 games, including five over their last five.

New York has recorded 21.9 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 18.4 over its last five.

The Mets have dropped nine of their last 10 games SU.

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Written by GMS Previews

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