The New York Mets will be taking on the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park. Fox Sports Net Wisconsin will be showing this NL showdown and the action gets going at 4:10 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Milwaukee Brewers Odds
New York (+145) is the underdog to Milwaukee (-155) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this afternoon’s game at 9 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds sitting at -150 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +130 for the Brewers -1.5.
The Brewers are 32-20 SU and 30-21 ATS. The team has gained 13.2 units for moneyline bettors and 6.8 units against the spread (ATS). Milwaukee has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has hit in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 25-22 SU this year and are 22-24 ATS. In total, the team’s gained 1.1 units for moneyline gamblers, but have lost 1.3 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in six of those seven.
Milwaukee games have an over/under record of 19-30-2 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 20-25-1.
Southpaw Jason Vargas will get the nod for the visiting Mets. Vargas is 1-3 with a 9.87 ERA and 16 strikeouts. He has yet to face the Brewers this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Brewers are turning to righty Chase Anderson (4-3, 3.86 ERA), who has 33 punchouts and 19 walks as well as a WHIP of 1.13. Anderson is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 1.42 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Milwaukee’s pitchers have allowed 3.6 runs per game overall this season. Its starters have a 4.01 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 7.2 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a solid ERA of just 2.46, a WHIP of 1.11 and a K/9 of 10.2.
The Milwaukee hitters are putting up 4.0 runs per outing, including 4.1 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over their last five. The team has slashed .219/.301/.361 over its last five contests and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Brewers’ hitters have been led by outfielder Lorenzo Cain and third baseman Travis Shaw. Cain is hitting .280/.383/.440 with six home runs, 15 RBIs, 30 runs and 11 steals, while Shaw’s line is .254/.338/.541 with 13 homers, 34 RBIs and 30 runs scored.
Cain did not do very well against left-handed pitching at home last season. Across 69 such plate appearances, he slashed .234/.290/.328 (his overall season line was .300/.363/.440).
For the visiting squad, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.2 runs per game and its starters own a 4.01 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 9.76 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.72, along with a K/9 of 9.02.
The Mets offense has slashed .237/.316/.384 on its way to 4.0 runs scored per game this year, including 3.7 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 2.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
New York’s offensive production been led by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario. Cabrera is slashing .315/.357/.525 with seven home runs, 29 RBIs and 26 runs scored, while Rosario is slashing .253/.276/.380 with three homers, 15 RBIs and 19 runs scored.
The Mets have gained 1.3 units and are 15-18 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, compared to 18 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Brewers have lost 0.3 units and are 5-7 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in five of those games, as opposed to seven which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Milwaukee Brewers Free MLB Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Brewers, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The Brewers have won four of their last five games SU.
Milwaukee has recorded 19.5 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 17.2 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Brewers have hit 16 over their last 10.
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