The New York Mets will pay a visit to Philadelphia to play their NL East nemesis Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. SportsNet New York will showcase the action and the game is scheduled to get underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies Odds
New York (+105) is hosting this one as the underdog against Philadelphia (-115) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at eight runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -120 for the over and +100 for the under. Bettors can also wager on the game’s runline with the odds standing at -200 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +170 for the Phillies -1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 76-72 straight up (SU) and 68-79 against the spread (ATS). They’ve gained 0.2 units for moneyline bettors while gaining 20.8 units (ATS). Philadelphia has covered the spread only once in its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven. The Mets are 69-80 SU and have gone 73-74 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 11.2 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.8 units ATS. New York’s covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven.
Phillies games have an over/under record of 66-75-6 in 2018. New York has also been a decent under bet with a total record of 65-74-8.
Zack Wheeler will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Wheeler is 11-7 with a 3.23 ERA and 175 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with eight strikeouts and a 5.79 ERA against Philadelphia this year.
The Phillies will put the ball in the right hand of Jake Arrieta (10-9, 3.66 ERA), who’s got 127 strikeouts and 52 walks as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Arrieta is 0-1 with 11 strikeouts and a 0.68 ERA across two starts against New York this year.
New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.19 K/9. The bullpen has managed an ERA of 4.95, along with a K/9 of 8.48.
Mets hitters have slashed .236/.314/.393 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game this year, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 4.6 per game over the team’s last five outings (3-2 SU).
New York’s offensive production has been led by shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto. Rosario is hitting .259/.298/.395 with nine home runs, 48 RBIs, 71 runs and 18 steals, while Conforto has a .239 average with 25 homers, 69 RBIs and 71 runs scored.
For the home team, Philadelphia’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game overall in 2018. Its starters have a 4.00 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.93 ERA, 1.31 WHIP and 9.2 K/9. In 66 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.06 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.38.
The Philadelphia offense has put up 4.3 runs per outing, including 4.3 per game against divisional foes and 6.0 per game over its last five. The team has hit .266/.333/.492 over its last five matchups and is 2-3 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ batters have been led by second baseman Cesar Hernandez and right fielder Odubel Herrera. Hernandez is hitting .257/.359/.364 with 13 home runs, 53 RBIs, 86 runs and 18 stolen bases, and Herrera’s line is .256/.313/.424 with 21 homers, 65 RBIs and 62 runs.
The Mets have lost 5.1 units and are 54-53 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 49 of those games, compared to 52 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Phillies have lost 2.5 units and are 52-59 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s hit in 48 of those games, compared to 59 that went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Phillies, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The over has hit in three of New York’s last seven outings.
Philadelphia has recorded 21.7 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 games and 24.8 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 19 home runs in their last 10 games. The Phillies have hit 14 over their last 10.
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