The Pittsburgh Pirates are playing host to the New York Mets at PNC Park. Pix11 will be televising this NL matchup and the game gets underway at 7:05 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Odds
Pittsburgh (+130) is the home-team underdog against New York (-140) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 7.5 runs. The odds for betting on the game’s total stand at -105 for the over and -115 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at +105 for taking the Mets -1.5 runs and -125 for the Pirates +1.5 runs.
The Pirates are 53-51 straight up (SU) and 51-53 against the spread (ATS). The team hasn’t moved the needle a whole lot for gamblers, gaining 1.1 units for moneyline bettors while earning 3.6 units (ATS). Pittsburgh has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total went over in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 43-57 SU this year and are 45-54 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 16.3 units for moneyline bettors and 14.2 units ATS. New York has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the over has cashed in five of those seven.
Pittsburgh games have a 50-47-7 over/under record in 2018. New York has been a decent under bet with a total record of 44-51-4.
Jacob deGrom is getting the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed deGrom (5-5, 1.71 ERA) has racked up 159 strikeouts in 131.1 innings so far. He has yet to face the Pirates this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (1-0, 1.08 ERA and 10 strikeouts across eight and one-third innings).
The Pirates are turning to righty Trevor Williams (8-7, 4.11 ERA), who has 72 strikeouts and 37 walks to his credit as well as a 1.24 WHIP. Williams only made one start against the Mets in 2017 (1-0, 1.29 ERA and three strikeouts across seven innings).
As a unit, Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has allowed 4.6 runs per game overall this year. The team’s starters have an ERA of 4.25, a WHIP of 1.29 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 7.5. The bullpen has a 4.34 ERA, 1.41 WHIP and 9.9 K/9.
The Pittsburgh offense has put up 4.6 runs per outing, including 6.4 per game over its last 10 games and 6.2 per game over its last five. The team’s hit .292/.328/.560 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that span.
The Pirates’ batters have been led by outfielders Corey Dickerson and Starling Marte. Dickerson is hitting .318/.351/.517 with 11 home runs, 44 RBIs and 50 runs scored, while Marte is batting .292 with 16 homers, 54 RBIs, 57 runs and 25 stolen bases.
For the visitors, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.6 runs per game and its starters own a 4.00 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 9.03 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.73, along with a K-per-9 of 8.49.
Mets hitters have slashed .229/.312/.380 on their way to 4.0 runs scored per game in 2018, including 5.5 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 6.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (3-2 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and shortstop Amed Rosario continue to lead New York’s hitters. Cabrera is slashing .277/.329/.488 with 18 home runs, 58 RBIs and 48 runs scored. Rosario (.251/.293/.379) is up to four homers, 27 RBIs and 39 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 9.9 units and are 32-40 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 32 of those games, as opposed to 36 that’ve hit the under against righty starters. On the other hand, the Pirates have netted 7.4 units and are 39-38 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher. The over has hit in 33 of those games, compared to 37 that’ve gone under.
New York Mets at Pittsburgh Pirates Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has hit in five of New York’s last seven contests.
The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Pirates have hit 23 over their last 10.
New York has recorded 22.1 runs + hits + errors per game over its last 10 contests and 22.4 over its last five.
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