The New York Mets are ready to play the San Diego Padres at PETCO Park. Pix11 will be airing this NL showdown. The game is slated to get underway at 8:40 p.m. ET.
New York Mets vs. San Diego Padres Odds
Vegas has listed San Diego (-125) as the favorite over New York (+115). The total is sitting at 8 runs and bettors can take the over for -115 and the under for -105. The game’s runline odds sit at -180 for taking the Mets +1.5 runs and +160 for the Padres -1.5 runs.
The Padres are just 9-18 SU and 10-16 ATS. The team’s lost 4.9 units for moneyline bettors and 10.6 units against the spread (ATS). San Diego has covered the spread only twice in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 16-8 SU this year and are 13-10 ATS. Overall, the team’s accumulated 7.7 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 4.6 units ATS. New York is 3-4 ATS over its last seven games and the total has gone over in five of those seven.
Padres games have an over/under record of 11-13-2 so far in 2018. New York has an over/under record of 12-10-1.
Left-hander Jason Vargas is projected to start for New York. Vargas is 0-0 with an ERA. He has yet to face the Padres this year and did not record a start against them in 2017, either.
The Padres are preparing to start lefty Joey Lucchesi (2-1, 2.70 ERA), who has 29 strikeouts and eight walks to his credit, as well as a 1.13 WHIP. Lucchesi did not record any MLB pitching stats in 2017.
New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.1 runs per game and its starters own a 3.64 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 10.03 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 3.40, along with a K/9 of 9.80.
The Mets offense has slashed .233/.330/.374 on its way to 4.6 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.6 runs per game over the team’s last 10 games and 3.6 per game over the team’s last five contests (2-3 SU).
Second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier have led New York’s offense. Cabrera is hitting .333/.379/.591 with five home runs, 15 RBIs and 18 runs scored, while Frazier has a .256 average with three homers, 15 RBIs and 14 runs scored.
Cabrera performed well against lefties on the road last season, putting up a slash line of .493/.545/.696 across 77 such plate appearances (his overall season line was .280/.351/.434).
In the other dugout, San Diego’s pitchers have yielded 4.9 runs per game overall this year. The club’s starters have a 5.33 ERA, 1.62 WHIP and 7.9 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has recorded a solid ERA of just 2.73, a WHIP of 1.07 and a K/9 of 10.3.
San Diego’s offense is putting up 3.7 runs per outing, including 3.4 per game over its last 10 games and 3.6 per game over its last five. The team has slashed .205/.281/.317 over its last five matchups and is 1-4 SU during that stretch.
Third baseman Christian Villanueva and first baseman Eric Hosmer have led the Padres’ batters this year. Villanueva is slashing .348/.434/.742 with seven home runs, 16 RBIs and 13 runs scored, and Hosmer’s line is .250/.359/.398 with 22 hits, four RBIs and 12 runs scored.
Hosmer didn’t do as well batting against lefty pitching at home in 2017, slashing .224/.274/.357 over 106 such plate appearances (his total season line was .318/.385/.498).
The Mets have gained 3.5 units and are 4-1 ATS when facing a lefty starter this season. The over has hit in two of those games, compared to three that’ve gone under against left-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Padres have lost 1.6 units and are 3-7 ATS when facing a lefty starter. The over’s hit in five of those games, compared to five that went under the total.
New York Mets at San Diego Padres MLB Tip
Predictions: SU Winner – Padres, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – UNDER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The Padres have lost five of their last six games SU.
New York has recorded 21.0 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 18.8 over its last five.
Both teams have hit seven home runs over their last 10 games.
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