The Washington Nationals are playing host to their division rival New York Mets at Nationals Park. Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be televising the matchup and the first pitch is scheduled for 1:35 p.m. ET.
New York Mets at Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-130) is hosting this one as the favorite against New York (+120) and oddsmakers have put the Over/Under for this one at 9 runs (-110 for the under and -110 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the current runline odds standing at -175 for the Mets +1.5 runs and +155 for the Nationals -1.5.
The Mets are 72-83 SU and are 77-76 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 9.8 units for bettors taking the moneyline and 5.8 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Nationals, on the other hand, are 78-77 SU and 72-82 ATS. The team has lost 27.0 units for moneyline bettors and 14.1 units ATS. Washington has a 3-4 ATS record over its last seven outings and the over has hit in four of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 71-80-3 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 67-77-9.
Steven Matz is getting the nod for New York. The southpaw Matz (5-11, 4.03 ERA) has racked up 140 strikeouts in 145 innings so far. He’s 0-3 with 27 strikeouts and a 5.48 ERA against Washington this year (five starts).
The Nationals are turning to righty Erick Fedde (2-3, 5.02 ERA), who has 41 strikeouts and 17 walks to his name as well as a 1.44 WHIP. Fedde hasn’t faced the Mets yet this year and only made one start against them in 2017 (0-0, 7.50 ERA and five strikeouts across six innings).
As a unit, Washington’s pitchers have allowed 4.2 runs per game overall this season. The club’s starters have an ERA of 4.03, a WHIP of 1.24 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 9.0. The bullpen has a 3.90 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 72 games against divisional foes, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.23 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.15.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.7 runs per outing, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 4.2 per game over its last five. The team has hit .224/.323/.365 over its last five games and is 2-3 SU during that span.
Shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon have paced the Nationals’ batters this year. Turner is hitting .270/.341/.410 with 18 home runs, 67 RBIs, 99 runs and 41 stolen bases, and Rendon is hitting .305 with 22 homers, 83 RBIs and 84 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.68 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.18 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 4.98, along with a K-per-9 of 8.48.
The Mets offense has slashed .235/.314/.391 on its way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.1 runs per game against divisional foes and 2.2 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
Shortstop Amed Rosario and right fielder Michael Conforto continue to lead New York’s hitters. The speedy Rosario is slashing .260/.297/.391 with nine home runs, 49 RBIs, 74 runs and 21 steals, while Conforto is hitting .241/.348/.443 with 27 homers, 77 RBIs and 74 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 2.7 units and are 57-55 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this year. The over has cashed in 51 of those games, as opposed to 55 that’ve gone under against righties. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 18.8 units and are 18-24 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 21 of those games, as opposed to 20 that’ve cashed the under.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Free Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in just two of New York’s last seven contests.
The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 12 over their last 10.
New York has posted 18.1 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 contests and 14.6 over its last five.
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