The Washington Nationals are facing off against the New York Mets at Nationals Park. The first pitch is scheduled for 7:05 p.m. ET and Mid-Atlantic Sports Network will be showing the matchup.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Odds
Washington (-290) is hosting this one as the favorite over New York (+245) and Vegas has put the Over/Under for this night game at 8 runs. Odds for wagering on the game’s total sit at -115 for the over and -105 for the under. The game’s runline odds sit at +120 for betting the Mets +1.5 runs and -140 for the Nationals -1.5 runs.
The Nationals are 77-75 straight up (SU) and 72-80 against the spread (ATS). They’ve lost 23.1 units for moneyline bettors and 11.6 units (ATS). Washington has covered the spread five times in its last seven games and the total has gone under in four of those seven. The Mets have gone 70-82 SU this year and are 75-75 ATS. In total, the team’s lost 12.1 units for moneyline gamblers and 7.0 units ATS. New York has covered the spread four times in its last seven games and the under has cashed in five of those seven.
Nationals games have an over/under record of 70-79-3 in 2018. The Mets have also been a decent under bet with a total record of 66-75-9.
The left-handed Jason Vargas will get the start for New York. Vargas is 6-9 with a 6.47 ERA and 70 strikeouts. He’s 1-0 with eight strikeouts and a 0.00 ERA against Washington this year.
The Nationals are sending righty ace Max Scherzer (17-7, 2.53 ERA) to the hill. Scherzer has 277 strikeouts and 49 walks to his name, as well as a 0.91 WHIP. Scherzer is 1-0 with five strikeouts and a 3.86 ERA in one start against New York this year.
As a unit, Washington’s pitching staff has given up 4.2 runs per game overall in 2018. The club’s starters have a 4.05 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 9.0 strikeouts per nine innings. The bullpen has a 3.96 ERA, 1.24 WHIP and 8.5 K/9. In 69 games against divisional opponents, Nationals starters have an ERA of 4.29 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.28.
The Washington offense is putting up 4.7 runs per contest, including 5.3 per game against divisional foes and 5.4 per game over its last five. The team has hit .256/.396/.399 over its last five matchups and is 3-2 SU during that stretch.
The Nationals’ offense has been led by shortstop Trea Turner and third baseman Anthony Rendon. Turner is slashing .268/.338/.403 with 17 home runs, 65 RBIs, 94 runs and 40 stolen bases, while Rendon is hitting .305 with 21 homers, 79 RBIs and 81 runs.
In the visiting dugout, New York’s pitchers have allowed 4.4 runs per game and its starting pitchers own a 3.70 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 9.16 K/9. The bullpen has logged an ERA of 4.97, along with a WHIP of 1.20 and a K/9 of 8.51.
Mets hitters have slashed .236/.314/.392 on their way to 4.3 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.4 per game over the team’s last five contests (1-4 SU).
Shortstop Amed Rosario and outfielder Michael Conforto continue to lead New York’s offense. The speedy Rosario is hitting .260/.298/.393 with nine home runs, 49 RBIs, 72 runs and 21 steals, while Conforto is hitting .239/.340/.436 with 26 homers, 75 RBIs and 72 runs scored.
The Mets have lost 5.0 units and are 55-54 ATS when facing a righty starter this season. The over has hit in 50 of those games, compared to 53 that’ve gone under against right-handed starting pitchers. On the other hand, the Nationals have lost 15.8 units and are 18-23 ATS when facing a left-handed starting pitcher. The over’s hit in 20 of those games, compared to 20 which went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals Pick
Predictions: SU Winner – Nationals, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Notes
The under has cashed in five of New York’s last seven games.
The Mets have hit 16 home runs in their last 10 games. The Nationals have hit 14 over their last 10.
Washington has averaged 21.5 runs + hits + errors over its last 10 contests and 22.6 over its last five.
The Mets have lost four of their last five games SU while the Nationals have won three of their last four.
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