The New York Mets will be taking on their division rival Philadelphia Phillies at Citizens Bank Park. The game gets underway 7:05 p.m. ET and Pix11 will be airing the action.
New York Mets at Philadelphia Phillies Odds
New York (-150) is coming into this one as the favorite over Philadelphia (+140) and Vegas has the Over/Under for this one at 8 runs (+100 for the under and -120 for the over). Bettors can also wager on the game’s spread with the most recent runline odds sitting at -105 for the Mets -1.5 runs and -115 for the Phillies +1.5 runs.
The Phillies are 22-16 SU and 17-20 ATS. They’ve gained 5.5 units for bettors taking the moneyline while earning 5.8 units against the spread (ATS). The Mets are 19-17 SU and have gone 15-20 ATS. Overall, the team’s lost 1.4 units for moneyline gamblers in the season’s early going and 4.7 units ATS.
Philadelphia games have an over/under record of 18-16-3 so far in 2018. The Mets have an over/under record of 17-17-1.
Noah Syndergaard will get the start for the visiting Mets. The right-handed Syndergaard is 2-1 with a 3.09 ERA and 54 strikeouts. He’s 0-0 with seven strikeouts and a 4.50 ERA against Philadelphia this year (two starts).
The Phillies are turning to righty Zach Eflin (1-0, 0.71 ERA), who has 13 strikeouts and three walks to his name as well as a WHIP of 0.79. Eflin has yet to face the Mets this year, but he made two starts against them in 2017, posting a 0-1 record with a 4.35 ERA and nine strikeouts.
As a unit, Philadelphia’s pitching staff has given up 3.8 runs per game overall in 2018. The team’s starters have an ERA of 3.59, a WHIP of 1.18 and a strikeouts-per-nine of 8.6. The bullpen has a 3.36 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 9.3 K/9. In 21 games against divisional foes, Phillies starters have an ERA of 4.10 and the bullpen’s ERA is 4.48.
The Philadelphia offense has produced 4.7 runs per outing, including 3.9 per game against divisional foes and 6.6 per game over its last five. The team has hit .287/.374/.509 over its last five games and is 4-1 SU during that stretch.
The Phillies’ offense has been led by outfielders Odubel Herrera and Rhys Hoskins. Herrera is hitting .360/.429/.566 with six home runs, 24 RBIs and 23 runs scored, and Hoskins has produced a line of .268/.418/.472 with five homers, 25 RBIs and 22 runs.
In the other dugout, New York’s pitching staff allowed 4.5 runs per game and its starters own a 4.37 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 9.29 K/9. The bullpen has an ERA of 3.84, along with a K/9 of 9.00.
Mets hitters have slashed .231/.315/.374 on their way to 4.2 runs scored per game in 2018, including 4.2 runs per game against divisional foes and 3.0 per game over the team’s last five outings (2-3 SU).
New York’s offense has been powered by second baseman Asdrubal Cabrera and third baseman Todd Frazier. Cabrera is slashing .326/.375/.551 with six home runs, 22 RBIs and 23 runs scored, while Frazier is hitting .237/.357/.412 with five homers, 21 RBIs and 18 runs scored.
Compared to his total season slash line of .214/.345/.425, Frazier appeared to enjoy hitting righty pitching on the road in 2017, maintaining a slash line of .261/.386/.505 across 228 such plate appearances.
The Mets have lost 1.2 units and are 10-16 ATS when facing a right-handed starting pitcher this season. The over has cashed in 14 of those games, as opposed to 11 that’ve hit the under in such games. On the other hand, the Phillies have netted 1.2 units and are 11-16 ATS when facing a righty starter. The over’s cashed in 13 of those games, compared to 12 that went under the total.
New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies MLB Prediction
Predictions: SU Winner – Mets, ATS Winner – Mets, O/U – OVER
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Notes
Betting Trends
The over has cashed in three of New York’s last seven games.
New York has posted 16.4 Runs + Hits + Errors per game over its last 10 outings and 17.8 over its last five.
The Mets have hit 10 home runs in their last 10 games, including seven over their last five.
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